Bookmaker surebets strategy with examples: calculator, formulas. Is it possible to make money on live bets? My review, the best companies, strategy

29.06.2018 16:13

It is known that sure bets are a separate large segment of earnings in betting. The essence of forks is to bet on opposite outcomes of the same event, the so-called corridor. For example, part of the amount is indicated for a total greater than 2.5, and the second for a total less than 2.5. Or one bet goes on P1, and the second on X2. Under normal conditions, within the framework of one bookmaker's office, such an action is meaningless. After all, the line is balanced, and the bookmaker’s margin included in the odds would give a final minus for the player. However, you can use different indicators in different offices and come up with a win-win option. No matter who wins, no matter what the goal total is, the player remains in a slight advantage. This is the idea of classic forks. Look for companies with a skewed line and play on it. But there are also options to create forks yourself. This is possible already during the match in the live line, when the odds begin to change actively. We’ll talk about how to create such live forks in this review.

The idea of live sure bets is that we place one bet before the start of the match or in the first minutes of it. As the game progresses, the odds for some event opposite to the original bet increase. The player bets on it. Taking into account the increased coefficient, it turns out to be a win-win option. These kinds of pairs of outcomes can be different. Depending on the forecast, you can guess different constructions.

For example, choose a match of equal teams. The bookmaker's line for the main outcomes (1X2) will have approximately the following odds: 2.40 – 3.40 – 2.80. This balance of power indicates that there will be a stubborn struggle. We bet before the game or at the very beginning of the game on a draw in the first half. For such an outcome the odds will be around 1.90 – 2.50. The match begins. They are watching the broadcast. After 12-15 minutes, the odds for a total of more than 0.5 in the first half increase significantly. You can place a live bet on this event, ensuring a win-win scenario. If the result remains a 0-0 draw, then the pre-match bet on a draw at the half wins. It compensates for the loss of the second fork bet on TB (0.5) in the half, and provides a plus. If a goal does happen, then options are still possible. If the half ends with someone's intermediate victory, then the bet-arb plays, and the pre-match bet on a draw, “X” in the first half, loses. But due to the odds, the player remains in profit, or at least at his own. But a successful draw in the first half is also possible, 1:1, 2:2. Then both bets will play out and the profit will be much higher.

Unlike classic arbs, where a win-win option is selected, live arbs are not ideal. No one is safe from a stray quick goal. However, with the correct selection of matches and opponents, there will be few such misfires, which will not harm the distance profit.

Using the same principle, you can make a fork purely on the total. Take a match where, in principle, many goals are not expected. Equal matches are also suitable, where long reconnaissance and persistent fighting in the center of the field are expected. Before the start they bet on a total of less than 0.5 in the first half. After 15-20 minutes of the game, you can play a fork bet on a total of more than 0.5 in the first half. This makes it a win-win. Again, this approach is vulnerable to quick goals that were not expected in the preliminary forecast.

You can win back this technique using a progressive increase in the amount in case of a loss on the previous attempt. The Martingale financial strategy or similar ones are used.

Making a fork yourself is not as difficult as it might seem at first glance. Its difference from a classic arb is only in the fact that the outcome is not 100% positive (and, yes, we remember that win-win is one of the main advantages of using arbs). However, taking this game method with a suitable financial strategy, we get an edge of approximately 20-25% at a distance. This value we received as a result of 2.5 months of testing (July-September 2014), during which more than two hundred bets were placed.

All we need is financial resource, an account in a bookmaker’s office, which provides a rich list of events, Internet and time, since we will create a fork in Live mode.

How to start

To create a fork, select Soccer game, in which there are more or less equal opponents (this can be understood by the odds, they should be about 2.4-3.4-2.8, respectively, for the 1X2 market).

In the first minutes of the match, we bet on a draw in the first half; the odds for this event will be around 2.5-3.0. Next, we wait 10-15 minutes for the coefficient on TB 0.5 in the first half to increase to the value we need in order to place the second arm of the fork. You should not delay too much and wait for this coefficient to take great importance, because even if you follow the game on TV and see that the players are in no hurry, in this case no one is safe from an accidental goal.

In the event that they managed to score a goal before you managed to make a second bet, you shouldn’t be upset - after all, the opponents are playing approximately equal, so it is quite possible for the losing team to score before the end of the half. If this does not happen, then you begin to place the next match with a larger bet amount, using one of the progressive financial strategies, for example, distributed catch-up or Dynamic. However, the usual catch-up (Martingale system) provides a high margin for effective strategy development. As written above, with a projected return of 20-25% per cycle.

No less often there are situations when after the first half we see a productive draw - 1:1,2:2, etc. – in this case, both of our bets will win, that is, the corridor will work, which in practice can bring more income than is included in the mathematical model.

Hedging your bets using Live sure bets

It is especially worth noting live arbs as a tool for insuring regular bets that are made within other gaming strategies. This is a very interesting and useful tool, despite the fact that live arbs here act only as an addition and not as a separate gaming strategy.

Let's look at a few examples to understand the essence. Let's say a player predicted a team's victory in a match. Before the game, he bets on a clear victory, W1 at odds of 2.00. During the match, the team scores and takes the lead. For example, even before the break the score became 2:0. Should I wait until the end of the match? Every season we see dozens of comebacks with a two-goal difference. Teams that have such an advantage often relax and miss out on victory. If the initial forecast converges during the meeting, then there is no need to persist and tempt fate. It’s worth making a counter-bet, a fork in live. In this case, they bet on X2. If the opponent has an advantage of 2 goals, the coefficient on this reverse leverage to P1 will be assessed as a very high “odds”. Depending on the remaining time, this could be 3.00, 5.00 or higher. The closer to the final whistle, the more the odds increase. They bet just enough so that in the event of a sudden win back, the insurance bet will compensate for the amount bet on the main forecast and insurance.

For example, before the game they bet 1,000 rubles. on P1 with odds 2.00. During the match, with the intermediate winning score of the first team, they took insurance on X2 for an odds of 5.00. This means you need to bet 250 rubles.

If the match ends in victory, then the main bet plays.

1,000 rub. * 2.00 = 2,000 rub.

Net profit will be 750 rubles.

2,000 – 1,000 – 250 = 750 rub.

If the opponent compares and does not lose, then the main bet is lost. 1,000 rub. gets lost. However, a live fork is triggered on X2.

250 rub. * 5.00 = 1,250 rub.

We compensate the amount of the main and insurance rates, and remain with our own. Although this technique cuts potential profits, the practice is justified. It is better to ensure a win-win scenario if the initial forecast comes true than to wait for the outcome. Depending on the distance, some of these bets will lose. The profit lost due to insurance will be less than the loss on such comebacks. Of course, everything depends on the experience and competent actions of the player. You need to watch broadcasts of matches. Draw the right conclusions from what you see. In some places you need to be insured, but in others you can get by. This understanding comes with experience.

In the same example, the advantage of the desired team can be minimal, 1:0 or 2:1. But the second half will already be underway. Here good ratio on X2 you can take even with such a score. This will protect you from an annoying draw, which often happens at the end of the match when the opponent puts the pressure on and equalizes.

In a similar way, you can insure your totals with live arbs. For example, before the match they bet on the total over 2.5, for odds of 1.85. Even in the first half the score became 1:1. This situation often reaches the final whistle. It is advisable not to tempt fate here. At this time, they give a very good live odds for a total less than 2.5. This live fork provides a win-win scenario. If there are still goals, the main bet will play. If not, the insurance company will return all the money.

In the same way, they bet on a team’s individual total over 1.5. Many football teams are highly productive. For example, at home they rarely score less than 2-3 goals. They look at the opponent’s level and take this ITB (1.5). If a team scores relatively quickly, in the first half, there is a great opportunity insure. We take it and bet live on an individual total less than 1.5. Considering the team's performance, there is still enough time until the end of the game and goal scored, the odds for such a fork are very good for less.

Bookmakers

The peculiarity of live arbs and arbs in general is that the player bets on opposite outcomes in one match, for the same type of events. In most bookmakers, such actions are prohibited. Somewhere they simply won’t let you put it like that, somewhere they will, and then problems will begin. They can calculate bets with odds of 1.00 and even block the account. So there can be two approaches:

place bets on different legs of the same market in different bookmakers;

work in those bookmakers that allow the use of forks and cross bets.

In the first case, we transfer parts of our gaming bank to different offices. In one we place a pre-match bet based on the forecast. In the other, we monitor the live line and make insurance, if anything happens.

To practice your strategy, we recommend creating a new account at one of the bookmakers listed below. This is necessary for the pure development of Live sure bets, that is, it is important to exclude a situation where the bookmaker blocks or suspends the ability to place a bet in real time, as this may interfere with the development of the strategy. There are quite a lot of bookmakers that can do this. But there are some that are loyal to cross bets and will not interfere with your earnings. Here are some of them:

conclusions

Both classic and live sure bets have their advantages and disadvantages. They should not be perceived as a panacea. The considered forks in live, which the player creates independently, are just one of many gaming strategies. It may suit some people very well, but not others. You need to try, delve into it, and choose your own style to achieve long-term profit.

29.06.2018 16:13

It is known that sure bets are a separate large segment of earnings in betting. The essence of forks is to bet on opposite outcomes of the same event, the so-called corridor. For example, part of the amount is indicated for a total greater than 2.5, and the second for a total less than 2.5. Or one bet goes on P1, and the second on X2. Under normal conditions, within the framework of one bookmaker's office, such an action is meaningless. After all, the line is balanced, and the bookmaker’s margin included in the odds would give a final minus for the player. However, you can use different indicators in different offices and come up with a win-win option. No matter who wins, no matter what the goal total is, the player remains in a slight advantage. This is the idea of classic forks. Look for companies with a skewed line and play on it. But there are also options to create forks yourself. This is possible already during the match in the live line, when the odds begin to change actively. We’ll talk about how to create such live forks in this review.

You can win back this technique using a progressive increase in the amount in case of a loss on the previous attempt. The Martingale financial strategy or similar ones are used.

Making a fork yourself is not as difficult as it might seem at first glance. Its difference from a classic arb is only in the fact that the outcome is not 100% positive (and, yes, we remember that win-win is one of the main advantages of using arbs). However, by combining this gaming method with a suitable financial strategy, we get an edge of approximately 20-25% at a distance. We obtained this value as a result of 2.5 months of testing (July-September 2014), during which more than two hundred bets were placed.

All we need is a financial resource, an account at a bookmaker’s office, which provides a rich list of events, the Internet and time, since we will create a fork in Live mode.

How to start

To create an arb, we select a football match in which there are more or less equal opponents (this can be understood by the odds, they should be about 2.4-3.4-2.8, respectively, for the 1X2 market).

In the first minutes of the match, we bet on a draw in the first half; the odds for this event will be around 2.5-3.0. Next, we wait 10-15 minutes for the coefficient on TB 0.5 in the first half to increase to the value we need in order to place the second arm of the fork. You should not delay too much and wait for this coefficient to become very important, because even if you follow the game on TV and see that the players are in no hurry, in this case no one is safe from an accidental goal.

Hedging your bets using Live sure bets

It is especially worth noting live sure bets as a tool for insuring regular bets that are made as part of other gaming strategies. This is a very interesting and useful tool, despite the fact that live arbs here act only as an addition and not as a separate gaming strategy.

If the match ends in victory, then the main bet plays.

1,000 rub. * 2.00 = 2,000 rub.

Net profit will be 750 rubles.

2,000 – 1,000 – 250 = 750 rub.

If the opponent compares and does not lose, then the main bet is lost. 1,000 rub. gets lost. However, a live fork is triggered on X2.

250 rub. * 5.00 = 1,250 rub.

In the same example, the advantage of the desired team can be minimal, 1:0 or 2:1. But the second half will already be underway. Here you can take a good odds on X2 even with such a score. This will protect you from an annoying draw, which often happens at the end of the match when the opponent puts the pressure on and equalizes.

In the same way, they bet on a team’s individual total over 1.5. Many football teams are highly productive. For example, at home they rarely score less than 2-3 goals. They look at the opponent’s level and take this ITB (1.5). If a team scores relatively quickly, in the first half, there is an excellent opportunity to hedge their bets. We take it and bet live on an individual total less than 1.5. Considering the team’s performance, there is still enough time left in the game and a goal has already been scored, the odds for such a bet on less are given very good.

Bookmakers

place bets on different legs of the same market in different bookmakers;

work in those bookmakers that allow the use of forks and cross bets.

conclusions

Any bettor tries to find win-win strategy sports betting. Having submitted such a request to a search engine, he is faced with a huge number of strategies that are presented as win-win. 99% of them are useless and lead to the loss of the bank at a distance. One of the few sports betting strategies that can be conditionally classified as win-win is bookmaker “arbs”.

Bookmaker's sure bets for basketball

What is this?“Forks” in bookmakers are also called arbitrage situations - these are situations in which you can make money on a match regardless of its outcome. In such a situation, a bet is placed at different bookmakers on opposite outcomes of the match.

For example, on F1 (-1.5) in one bookmaker and F2 (+1.5) in another. If the odds for these outcomes, for example, are 1.9 and 2.3 in different bookmakers, then betting 1000 RUB on F1 (-1.5) for 1.9 and 826 RUB for 2.3 on F2 (+1.5 ), then regardless of the outcome of the match, the profit will be from 73.8 to 74 RUB.

How to find forks. The search for arbitrage situations is carried out using special fork scanners. Scanners allow you to find “arbs” both before the match and in live. It is worth considering that all arb scanners are paid. There is an option for a free subscription to the scanner, but it only includes arbs with a return of less than 1%.

How the strategy works

There are two different approaches to making money on arbitrage situations: pre-match “forks” and “forks” in live.

Pre-match forks. Placed before the start of the match. Their main advantage is that the bettor has enough time to make a decision. As a rule, the lifetime of pre-match “forks” is from several minutes to several hours. This time is more than enough to have time to insert both “arms” of the “fork”. But there are also a number of disadvantages. Firstly, bookmakers are well aware of which matches are subject to arbitration. Accordingly, everyone who has placed a significant amount of money on these matches runs the risk of getting caught. Such “arbers” are quickly identified by bookmakers. Secondly, the limits on bets on small markets before the match are significantly lower than the limits in live.

"Forks" in live. According to reviews from experienced arbers, game accounts remain “uncut” much longer for those who bet on arbs in live games. Such sure bets are not as obvious to the bookmaker as pre-match ones, and this is one of the main advantages. In addition, there are always a lot of “arbs” in live: live odds change every second, which inevitably leads to arbitrage situations. However, the constant adjustment of live odds leads to the fact that it is not always possible to place both “arms” of the “arb”.

"Forks" in live basketball. Basketball is a dynamic sport where the score changes every minute (and even more often). Accordingly, the odds change continuously and a large number of “forks” arise.

Another advantage of basketball for live betting is the large number of timeouts that coaches take: 4 timeouts in the first half and 6 timeouts in the second half. If you add breaks between quarters, you get 13 stops in the game, during which you can safely place a bet on both “shoulders” of the “arb” without fear of the odds changing.

An example of working with live forks in basketball

To work live, we will use the 3bet bookmaker surebets scanner (this is the most affordable scanner). We see that the scanner offers 2 “forks” in live.

Before starting work, it is important that the pages of all bookmakers that will be used for betting are already open. When arbitrating live, every second counts.

We choose a more profitable “fork” on which we can earn more, and find a match in and “”.

Match in Betcity:

Match in Marathon:

We see that both bookmakers changed the total value in the third quarter from 39.5 to 38.5. But the most important thing is that the odds remain the same.

To quickly calculate how much money you need to bet on each “shoulder” of a “fork”, open the “fork” calculator (the “Calculate” button). A surebucks calculator is available in any surebets scanner, and can also be found on many thematic sites.

The odds are already indicated automatically; all that remains is to enter in the bottom line the amount that you decided to bet on the match. In this example, it is 10,000 RUB. Accordingly, it remains to quickly place bets in both bookmakers. Now, regardless of the outcome of the 3rd quarter, we will earn approximately 466 RUB.

When to post. Since basketball is a very dynamic sport, there is a big risk that while we are placing a bet on one “arm” of the “arb”, the odds on the other “arm” have changed or this outcome has been removed altogether. Therefore, bettors taking their first steps in making money on bookmaker “arbs” in live games should place bets exclusively during timeouts and breaks in matches. This will significantly reduce the risk of sudden changes in odds.

Bookmaker selection. The worst thing about arbs is the situation when an unscrupulous bookmaker makes a return on the winning “leverage” of the arb. It is very difficult to recover such losses later. Therefore, choosing a bookmaker for arbitrage should be taken very seriously. It is undesirable to use bookmakers with ratings below C- in the Sportsbokreview rating (the most authoritative and reliable rating bookmakers). Therefore, it is not recommended to use offices like Pari-Match and 1xbet - there is a high risk of refunds winning bets.

Repeated bets. Arber traders often do this when they see a very profitable fork. After making one bet, greed takes over and they place another bet of the same kind to earn more. Using such repeated bets, bookmakers can easily identify arbers. There are frequent cases of returns on repeated bets (if they were won) with the justification “a technical error was made.”

Profitability. It makes no sense to bet on sure bets with a yield of less than 1% - you won’t be able to earn practically anything, but there is a risk. It is advisable to bet on sure bets with a yield of 2 to 10%. “Forbs” more profitable than 10% always arise due to technical errors and delays in the bookmaker’s program. With such “arbs” there is a very high risk of a return. Moreover, if a return is made on a winning “leverage”, it is not a fact that a return will also be made on a losing one.

Rounding. If the calculator gives a bet amount of 4492, then it is better to round it up to 4500, this is not so attention-grabbing.

In the first minutes of the match we need to bet on a draw in the first half. Practice shows that bookmakers offer approximately 2.5-3 for this event.
Then you need to wait about 10-15 minutes until TB 0.5 increases at the end of the FIRST HALF.
We place the file on the second shoulder.

What to do if a goal is scored before the second bet?

The first and most important thing is not to panic. Previously, we chose opponents of approximately equal strength (using the example of the Watford - Everton teams). This means that the losing team can still fight back before the end of the second half. If this does not happen, then you will have to come to terms with losses. For the next match you will need to bet with larger amount bets (we use well-known catch-up strategies or the good old Martingale). One lost match does not mean that your entire strategy will fail. We already wrote above that over the long term, the predicted profitability can be 20-25% per cycle.

What should you do if there is a draw after the 1st half?

For example, at the end of the first half the teams “broke up” with an equal score. Most often it is 1:1 (2:2 occurs, but is rare). What to do? In such a situation, 2 bets will win, i.e. the corridor will work. it can bring you much more money, than was included in the forecast.

Tips for those who are planning to use live arbs to make money at bookmakers!

1. In one match you can “catch” about 100 forks. You won't have time to miscalculate.
2. Professionals recommend betting rounded to the nearest hundred. For example, instead of 212 dollars it is better to bet 200; instead of $678 - $700 and so on.
3. Place your bets when there is more time (technical break, delay before throw-in, before free throws). At first it will be difficult to keep track of everything, to “keep up”, but after 1-3 times you will get used to it.
4. If you start working in “manual mode”, we recommend a handicap for “start” (including zero handicap against moneyline).
5. We place our first bet at the bookmaker that changes the odds faster.
6. It would be better to place your bets from 2 devices to eliminate the risk of losing. Over time, you will understand that every fraction of a second is important in arbs. If you use 2 computers, 2 tablets, 2 laptops, you will be able to see the application acceptance status on each screen simultaneously.
7. Evaluate how quickly the bookmaker calculates live bets. If this does not happen very quickly, then you may “lose” (you will not have enough bank to place a bet on the other side).
8. Be careful and patient: the risk of losses in the “short term” has not been canceled. As a rule, this problem is faced by beginners who have not yet received enough knowledge and have not “got the hang of it.”

We can only wish you great luck, luck and concentration: all of them will definitely come in handy! Good luck!

In order to start making money on live arbs, you need to figure everything out and set everything up correctly. In this article we will look at all the nuances of working with sure bets, but first I would like to talk about the advantages and disadvantages of live sure bets.

The advantage of live sure bets

Constantly large number of forks. Due to the fact that the event is dynamically changing, the odds are also constantly changing.
The profit from sure bets is much higher. Typically, in per-match arbs, events with a return of more than 10% are very rare; most often, this turns out to be a banal mistake by the bookmakers, which may most likely result in your bet being returned or you being identified as an arber. As for forks in live, it is common to see forks with a return of more than 10%.
Less risk. Since there are a large number of bets on live, the bookmaker simply does not have enough time to analyze all your bets, which means it is much more difficult to understand that you are an arber. Therefore, getting sanctions from a bookmaker will be much less likely.
Fast return investment, since they are returned immediately after the end of the game and you do not have to wait long as in the pre-match.

Disadvantages of live sure bets

The forks are quickly disappearing. The odds change so quickly that there is no time to think and you have to bet instantly.
The risk is that you may not have time to bet on the other shoulder and the fork will not close. The reason, of course, is the rapidly changing events and odds.
Different rules from bookmakers. Not all bookmakers have the same rules, so we recommend that you carefully read and compare them.

We have specially prepared several valuable advice, which would cope with the shortcomings of live forks. Then working with them will bring you a lot of positive emotions and money. You should definitely familiarize yourself with them before starting to work with live sure bets.

Let's set up a search filter in live arbs

The first thing a beginner should do is make the correct settings for the surebets search filter:

3. You can activate an additional item in the filter "During a break" if you want to bet on more dynamic sports. Then you will be able to bet on events that are currently on break; in this case, the odds will change slowly.

We recommend working live with small bets to practice and get better at it.
It is necessary to familiarize yourself with all the rules for accepting and calculating bets in bookmaker bets to avoid unpleasant situations.
Try not to bet on matches that are ending, because some bookmakers close the lines 10-15 minutes before the end of the game and you simply will not be able to bet on the second outcome.
It often happens that a fork appears at the end of the first half on TB/TM. It is important for you to know that the first bet is placed on the TM in one bookmaker, and only then on the TB in another. There’s just one caveat: if you don’t have time to bet on the TB outcome, you can lose the entire amount, so act quickly and decisively!
If you didn’t have time to bet on the outcome you wanted at one of the bookmakers, then use the similar odds option. And then you can close the bet by placing a bet at another bookmaker.

Conclusion

As a result, by learning how to properly configure the filter, you will make your work easier, you will be able to find what you need and you will be able to easily earn money. And following our advice, you will be able to avoid mistakes that beginners usually make. We wish you successful work and big earnings!