Sports betting strategies. Win-win sports betting strategies

Do you like sports? Do you want your hobby to also generate income? Then you can try to make money by betting on sporting events. And 10 will help with this simple rules for beginner players.

1. At the very beginning you should determine what it is for you rates. If winning is not your goal, then there is no point in reading the article further. But if sports betting for you a way to get rich, then you need to treat them as work.

To do this you need:

Develop your own or use ready-made game strategies (passive - bet on the most likely event, aggressive - bet on a controversial match);

Determine your gaming bank (how much money you are willing to spend on bets, how many bets you want to place, what size bets will suit you so as not to go bankrupt right away);

Be constantly aware of the events of the sport on which you decide to bet your money.

2. Eliminate the word “surely” from your vocabulary. How can you be 100% confident in betting in such an unpredictable area as sports? Moreover, this forecast is most likely based only on odds. It is unlikely that your game needs such a risk that does not fit into overall strategy making a profit. Such a bet, of course, gives the probability of winning, but betting on the favorite usually has small coefficient(1.1-1.4), and this is a too slow increase in capital.

3. You should also make it a rule to only play in large bookmakers, because the larger the company, the more it values ​​its reputation. Therefore, first make inquiries about how long the company has been in existence, what reviews they leave about it, and only after that place your bets. Here are some names of major bookmakers: Pinnaclesports, Bet365, Bwin, Betfair, WilliamHill, Unibet, Sportingbet, Planetofbets, Pari-match, 10Bet.

When you see high odds offered by small bookmakers, remember that free cheese only comes in mousetraps. Are there any guarantees that tomorrow they will not evaporate along with your money?

4. Also, you should not bet on obvious favorites, because the odds are low, and they can end up in a draw or even lose; there are a lot of such examples. But the funny thing is that these bets are the most popular among players. If suddenly you decide to do this, do not place a large bet on the favorite to win.

Because of this, you can lose a considerable amount, and in order not to go into the red and win back the lost money, you will need to place bets and win several times in a row. To prevent this from happening, try to bet on the total coefficient (a bet on the total number of goals scored), handicap (the difference in goals scored) or exact count.

5. Don't place parlay bets. These are bets that include several outcomes, the odds of which are multiplied. But the bet does not win if even one event does not play out, so the higher the final odds, the more events there are and the higher the risk of loss.

But if you still decide to try put express, then try to choose a chain of no more than 2-3 events in which the coefficient is not higher than 2. Selecting such events will not be easy, you need experience and knowledge, so advice for beginners - put in singles.

6. It happens to everyone when luck turns around and all your bets win, at such a time you need to continue playing as long as you are lucky, but when a couple of bets have not played out, you need to be able to stop so as not to lose the bank and go bankrupt. This is not easy to do, because at such moments the mind fades into the background, and a person is controlled by emotions. “Now he’ll trample again, now I’ll win and get back everything I lost” - this is the beginning of a big loss, because you start increasing your bets with the hope of winning back, but you lose again and again. So the whole bank goes to nothing, and you are left with nothing.

7. It is always necessary to follow the chosen strategy, calculated in advance, with a certain degree of probability. In it you have already determined for yourself the size of each bet (approximately 1-3% of total amount bank, so the loss will not hit your budget too much), quantity different rates per week, how many single and how many multiple bets need to be made to increase income. If you begin to retreat from the strategy that you yourself have chosen, then this will be the beginning of the path to bankruptcy. And make it a rule not to increase your fixed rate by more than a few points. This will also help you avoid going bankrupt soon.

8. Also, you should not place your bets out of personal attachment to any teams or athletes. They should not be related in any way to your future profits. After all, if you bet on your favorite football team, but it doesn’t have better times, someone was injured, the coach decided to save someone and left someone in reserve, someone was simply out of shape. This can easily trigger the loss of the entire bank. And if you bet on your opponent and win, then at the next game of your favorites you will be able to go to the stadium and cheer for them live, thereby proving your love and devotion to the team.

9. As with any job, when placing your bets, you need to be aware of events. You can’t just come at the behest of your heart and put your hand on someone. First you need to do research, read reviews, . The Internet can help with this in the best possible way; here, in addition to articles, you can also review all the games of a team or athlete to see what shape they are in and how they feel. Spend a little of your personal time analyzing the situation in a particular sport, and only then place a bet. This will help avoid unnecessary expenses.

10. The most important thing is to never forget that life without stakes exists. Don't change your bets on your family, children, parents, friends. These people will always support you, even if you fail, they will be there and help you get through any difficulties.

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In this article we will collect all the strategies for betting on football that can be found on the Internet, analyze them piece by piece and see how “win-win” and “working” they really are.

It is impossible to analyze all the strategies within the framework of 1 article, so some were included in separate articles, which you will find at the links in this material.

Win-win football betting strategies

Probably the most important part of the article, which is of interest to everyone. I hasten to disappoint you, there is no magic pill and in my opinion 100% winning and effective strategies there is no such thing as football, otherwise Bookmakers could be seen as charities that hand out money out of thin air to everyone.

But at the same time, some of the strategies can be considered the best and can be nominally called win-win and profitable, since if you use them correctly you can really make a profit.

Which ones exactly?

In my subjective opinion, these strategies include:

• Forks
• Value bets
• Dogon
• The strategy that came to your mind as a modified version based on the initially losing one described in this material

All these strategies are described in detail in this article with examples, welcome

Strategy Bookmaker Surebets

One of the most common concepts in the world of betting, how to find them, use them and other subtleties of this difficult activity in the article: “ “.

Value Betting

They are also “overvalued”, “value bets”. Here we talk about the theory of losing at a bookmaker, and how they can take you away from the inevitable loss of the bank.

Football betting strategy "Dogon"

This strategy can be used not only in football; its essence is to increase the bet amount after a loss. More details about it, as well as about its improved options: soft and double, are in the article - “ “.

Strategies for betting on totals in football

Express football betting strategy

What is express, how to use it, including in live betting. And also a system, as a type of bet, for cautious players with minimal risk and strategies based on this in the article: ““.

Football betting strategy

Totalizator betting is a special type of bet where the bookmaker chooses events for you, as you can use this for your own purposes in the article: “ “.

Football betting strategy 2 of 3 (three bet strategy)

The 2 out of 3 betting strategy has nothing in common with the 2 out of 3 system, despite the similar name. The “System” bet type is a set of express bets, and in our case we are talking about single bets.

Briefly, the idea boils down to the following: three are made single bets on the outcomes of football matches with odds of at least 1.51. The amount for each bet is the same. To make a profit, two predictions must be successful. Three bets are sometimes called a “chain”, which are combined into a series, for example 30 bets are 10 “chains” of three events each. The strategy is suitable for beginners.

It is based on flat bets; in fact, this is a regular bet, driven into an incomprehensible framework.

Football betting strategy goal interval (Rise)

This strategy can also be found under various promising names:

1. "Takeoff"
2. “Time to win” from Shevchenko I.

The strategy is based on the “Goal from 1 to 15 minutes” bet. According to statistics from the Champions League and Europa League matches from the official UEFA website, about 10% of the total number of goals are scored in the first 15 minutes. This is due to the fact that opponents often begin the meeting cautiously, trying to identify weak spots each other.

In the bookmaker, the bet can be called differently:

• Goal from 1 to 15 minutes
• TB (0.5) at 15 minutes

The main criteria for selecting matches for the bet “No goal from 1-15 minutes”:

• These should be matches without a clear favorite, teams comparable in class
• We exclude matches with high scoring (overall odds (2.5) less than 1.85)
• If the odds for no goal from 1 to 15 minutes are greater than 1.35, we do not take such games into account (the bookmaker estimates the probability of a goal in the first 15 minutes of the match to be above average)
• Bet only on games between clubs, since teamwork is much better than that of national teams, which means fewer mistakes and more predictability.

My opinion. What can we say about this strategy? When trying to find the very statistics on which the authors of the strategy rely, only this was found on the official website:

Simple calculations show that in reality, from 1 to 15 minutes, 15% of goals were scored, which, in principle, is not far from the data of the authors of the strategy (10%).

It turns out: The bookmaker offering odds of 1.35 on no goal says that the probability is 74%, but statistics say that the real probability is 85%.

This bet is a value bet, and in theory should result in a plus.

Lyrical digression: perhaps this is paranoia, but I am not inclined to believe in such an absurd miscalculation - note not just one, but all bookmakers. Therefore, you can use this strategy at your own peril and risk, not forgetting about financial management in managing the bank.

“ ” can also provide assistance to the player. By carefully selecting matches based on statistics and your intuition, there is a chance for success.

Football betting strategy 4 out of 5

When playing according to this strategy, you need to select 5 games and make 4 bets using the system () - one bet - 2 out of 5, the rest - 3 out of 5. There is only one condition for selecting football matches - the odds on TB (2.5) must be within the range of 1.85 to 2.1.

According to the strategy, these are the bets you need to make

The strategy implements the idea of ​​betting on TB with hedging bets on even (0:0, 2:0). The last 4th bet is aimed at the main “enemy” - the common score is 1:0.

At first glance, the strategy may seem suitable, because every match covers everything possible outcomes events.

One of the differences between this strategy for new bettors is that it is very difficult to predict its results in your head, because you put a matrix of 20 bets stuffed into different systems express trains are almost impossible. Therefore, everyone usually starts playing right away, trusting to chance.

Therefore, let’s conduct a “light” analysis of this strategy, slipping in arbitrary match results and look at the expected profit:

For example: 0-0, 0-1, 2-0, 3-0, 1-1. We will bet 100 rubles on each system. Let the coefficient be 2.0 everywhere

As a result, betting 4*100r=400r we won 80+40=120r. Net profit: 120r-400r = - 380r. Draw conclusions.

We carried out calculations using this

Strategy for betting on the underdog in football (strategy for betting on football against the favorite)

The strategy is based on the fact that the bookmaker usually underestimates the odds for the favorite of a football match and accordingly inflates the odds for the underdogs. This happens because the majority of people still bet on a stronger team, bookmaker analysts know this and are taking measures to equalize cash flows.

Moreover, closer to the beginning of the match, due to the “load” on the favorite, this tendency intensifies.

All this creates a situation where a bet on an outsider against a favorite at a distance becomes profitable (“value”).

The English Premier League is considered the most suitable for such bets.

Betting strategy 2-6

Quite a famous strategy in the vastness of the RuNet, although it is not clear why, then you will understand my skepticism.

We need to make a series of 6 bets, and it is enough to win only 2, as soon as there are 2, we start a new cycle, regardless of how many bets out of 6 we managed to make.

Let's try to explain the essence of the strategy using an example. Let's say we have 740r, and the odds are always 2.0 (for simplicity)

We divide the bank into 2 parts: 45% (330 rubles) and 55% (410 rubles) - this is done so that if the entire series of 6 bets does not go through, we have the opportunity to start a new series.

We place a bet so that the winnings from each subsequent bet are equal to multiplying the bet by these numbers: 1, 2, 4, 6, 8, 12

In our case, the winnings should be: 10r, 20r, 40r, 60r, 80r, 120r

Bet = Win / (Odds-1)

In our case, in order to win the amounts described above, you need to place the following bets: (odds are 2.0 everywhere, so everything is simple)

10r / (2-1) = 10r - first bet, 20r / (2-1) = 20r - second bet, etc.

Total: 10+20+40+60+80+120 = 330r bank for the entire possible series

And now we simply place any bets with odds of at least 2.0 until we accumulate 2 wins in the series. According to the authors, if 2 bets out of 6 pass, you are in the black.

What is it really like? Upon deeper analysis, it turns out that with the following combinations you are not in the black:

And this is 1/3 of all combinations. Why the authors of the “proven” strategy turn a blind eye to this obvious fact, I don’t know. By the way, to recoup the loss if all 6 bets fail, the next series will not be enough.

Betting on the exact score in football is risky and difficult to implement. But they have one attractive feature - high odds.

It is, of course, unreasonable to place a single bet on a specific score, so bettors have developed a number of game systems based on bets on the exact score.

The screenshot with the odds shows that if we bet on all accounts, we would only be in a slight minus if there was a 1:1 draw. Two remarks can be added to this:

• To protect yourself as much as possible from other accounts, you need to choose a “low” match
• You can exclude part of the results if you are sure that one of the teams will not lose

The strategy seems tempting, but let's look at the statistics.

According to statistics, the most popular scores are 0:0, 1:0, 1:1, 2:1, 2:0. Such results are typical for approximately half of all matches. There are 8 outcomes in total (added 0:1, 0:2, 1:2).

For example, if we take all matches of the Europa League season 2016/2017:

You can find two more interesting strategies on the Internet: “Plus or minus one goal” and “Double strategy”.

Plus or minus one goal

It involves selecting four matches where you need to predict the exact score of the match. Then, adding and subtracting one goal in both directions, we create 4 more outcomes for each match. A total of 20 results are obtained, from which double and triple express trains and singles are formed. This strategy reminds me of the “4 out of 5” described above, and it seems to me that the result should be about the same.

Doubles strategy

The doubles strategy is based on the fact that the most common result is 1:0 in favor of the hosts, and if you correctly select 10 matches where the probability of such an outcome is high, then using the 2 out of 10 system, you can make a profit provided you guess the score of two matches. In this case, the coefficients must be at least 7.

The bet on the correct score and the game models associated with it are quite interesting. There is room for “creativity” here, but we must not forget about the complexity and riskiness of this type of bet.

Own goal betting strategies in football

In a line of bookmakers you can find a bet that there will be an own goal in a football match (the odds rarely rise to 1.05) and, accordingly, vice versa - that there will not be one (more than 10.0).

There is no doubt about the extreme unpredictability specified type bets, however, according to some players, there are a number of factors that can increase the degree of predictability of this event.

• Effective championship
• Scoring teams
• Opponents prefer attacks using flanks and crosses into the penalty area
• Important fundamental fights

As you can see, these factors have a lot in common with the selection of matches for TB. This is logical, because the more time teams spend in dangerous attacks at the opponents' goal, the more likely it is that an own goal can occur. The last factor can be explained by the fact that the high intensity of the struggle, increased responsibility for the result often leads to annoying mistakes, ridiculous rebounds, etc.

Football betting strategy progression system

A description of the strategy can be found online. We must immediately clarify that it relates to financial management, i.e. to the way the bank is managed. A progression is used, the essence of which is that in case of an unsuccessful forecast, the bet amount increases by 3 units, and if the bet passes, it drops by 2 units. It is recommended to start a series with 10 or 20 units. As soon as we reach “plus”, the cycle ends and a new one begins.

How should a bettor act when using a strategy? Let's look at an example

Example: Let's say our bank is 10,000 rubles. We determine the initial rate in the amount of 1% of the bank - 100 rubles. We take 5 rubles as a unit, the series starts with 20 units (100 rubles). We consider equally probable events with odds of 1.95.

1 bet 100 rubles at odds 1.95. Losing.
2nd bet 100r + 3*5 = 115r at odds 1.95 - Loss.
3 bet 115r + 3*5 = 130r at odds 1.95 - Loss
4 bet 130r + 3*5 = 145r at odds 1.95 - Winning
5 bet 145r – 2*5 = 135r at odds 1.95 – Winning
6 bet 135r – 2*5 = 125r at odds 1.95 – Winning

Net income calculation:

145*1.95 + 135*1.95 + 125*1.95 = 789.75r won
100+115+130+145+135+125 = 750r spent on bets
789.75 - 750 = 39.75 rubles net profit

If we had made 6 bets with a regular flat, we would have been in the red. After all, with a coefficient of 1.95, the required bet passability for a plus would have to be at least 100/1.95=51.28% (52 bets out of 100). Here, for the sake of a plus, we can afford a pass rate of 50% (in our example, 3 out of 6 bets won)

Using “ ” and maintaining several series at the same time will help increase the effectiveness of the strategy (but I would not recommend it, since who knows how long an unsuccessful series can drag on and whether the bank will be enough for several threads).

Conclusion: the strategy is reminiscent of catching up, but it is very “gentle” and allows you to avoid a quick “drain” of the bank.

Football betting strategy "Lesenka"

The main idea of ​​the strategy is a series of bets on events with small odds. For example, we have 100 rubles. After the first bet in the amount of 100 rubles with a coefficient of 1.1, we receive 110 rubles, the next bet will be 110 rubles, etc.

Example bet: “Who will take more corners in the 1st half, option: Team 1 or Team 2.” The coefficient here is usually from 1.1 to 1.2

With the specified odds on the 8th step of the ladder, we will double the initial capital.

Features of the strategy:

• For bets, you must select events in the outcome of which you are confident
• One unsuccessful bet “destroys” the entire “ladder”
• Approximate event odds – from 1.1 to 1.2

If our bank is 1000 rubles, we can divide it into 10 parts of 100 rubles each and run 10 “ladders” in parallel.

For a coefficient of about 1.1 and 7-8 steps, the bettor will need to complete at least half of the “ladders” so as not to go into the minus.

Bets on even or odd number goals refers to the “Total” bet type.

Answer to the question: What is more often even or odd in football? Let's think logically. Teams start the game with an even total – 0:0. If a tough match is expected, where the cost of one goal is extremely high, and the opponents prefer not to take risks, then the odds are usually less. Otherwise, the outcomes are equally likely.

This is confirmed by the odds for even/odd Confederation Cup matches presented in the screenshots. For example, the fate of second place in the group and access to the semi-finals is decided here

Whereas in the second there is a clear favorite...

There are two game strategies associated with even/odd: using catch-up and express

1. A bet on even (or odd) using catch-up. You can catch up with even/odd both in halves and in the match as a whole. This tactic is based on the low probability of a long even or odd series. This was discussed in more detail here:.
2. The second strategy is known among players and is associated with the name of Mikhail Kotov. The idea is that an express bet of 6 games is initially formed, where the total odd outcome is chosen. In the opposite direction, single bets are made on total even. The main principle is that the bet loses, but the express “continues to live.” More details about the strategy with an example -

Gold unit football betting strategy from the author of Porvibook

The author contrasts his “mathematical” strategies with a game based on analysis. I support the point of view that with strategies based on “catching up” with a certain event, the outcome of this event should not be random, but supported by analysis and calculation.

Football betting strategy "Clairvoyant"

Despite the fact that the name of the strategy claims to be intuitive knowledge, it is based on simple mathematical calculations. Using services with statistical information about the performance of meeting teams, you can approximately calculate the possible score of the match.

This is done as follows:

Let's say Zenit hosts Spartak. We find the average number of goals that Zenit scores at home and add to it the number of goals conceded by Spartak on foreign fields. Dividing the resulting amount in half, we get the number of goals that Zenit can presumably score.

By performing similar calculations, we can determine how many goals Spartak will score, and thus we know the approximate score of the match - time to place a bet.

I can’t escape the thought that if everything were that simple, then all the bookmakers would have gone bankrupt long ago... We have already tried to calculate the total of the match, what came out of this can be seen at the link: .

Football betting strategy "Motivator"

There is not much specific information that was found on the Internet, and most of it is of an advertising nature, promising easy money in a short time if you purchase this secret strategy from a professional. Why then should authors bother distributing it? I assume that selling the strategy brings more money than its use. Draw your own conclusions.

Double outcome football betting strategy

A football match has 3 outcomes: 1-X-2, so the betting strategy on double outcome, which is denoted as follows:

1X— victory or draw of the first team
12 — victory of the first or second team
2X— victory or draw of the second team

Peculiarities:

• The disadvantage of the strategy is the low odds for a double outcome.
• It makes sense to combine double outcome bets into express bets to increase the overall odds

Oscar Grind Strategy

In what cases can this strategy bring profit, and also real example rates on this system in the article: .

Football betting strategy “Financial flows” (in line)

Distribution of financial flows, loads and changes in line odds are the “basics” that serious players must understand. Cash flows refer to the funds invested by bettors in betting on the outcome of an event. The optimal situation for the bookmaker is when there are no distortions and he makes a profit from the margin.

If funds are distributed unevenly, the coefficients begin to move. Usually this happens smoothly; there are situations when a significant part of the funds is invested in one of the outcomes. This is the so-called line load. It can arise spontaneously, when the majority of bettors bet on the favorite to win, or due to the fact that one of the outcomes “falls in” large sum(this can be one player or a group). There can be various reasons - a “strange” match, insider information.

Loading the line is often the initiator of arbitrage situations; we have already written about how they turn out and how major bookmakers make money from this in an article about.

There are various recommendations for the game based on financial flow analysis. IN general case The advice boils down to the fact that it is necessary, relying on specialized online services about the distribution of cash flows, to bet on the outcome chosen by the majority (usually this is the victory of the favorite). I can hardly imagine that such tactics can lead to success.

The other option is more interesting. There is a concept of “smart” loading that occurs when serious players make big bets. This could be a bookmaker’s mistake - a “value” bet, or there may be some classified information that is inaccessible to ordinary bettors. The coefficients in this case can vary greatly and here you need to do it in time the desired rate The odds are still the same in one of the bookmakers. This situation does not last long, because bookmakers exchange information when necessary.

Football handicap betting strategy

With the help of odds, the bookmaker expands the room for maneuver for bettors. If the bettor is confident that the team will win, but the odds for such an outcome are too low, it is possible to bet on victory with a handicap, for example (-1) or (-2). Accordingly, in the case where a stubborn fight is predicted, it makes sense to use a plus handicap on the outsider.

Strategy to both score (OZ) in football

The strategy is based on the “Both to Score” bet, which means that the ball will go into the goal of each team.

There is no strategy as such here, in my opinion. The main recommendation that can be found on all sites is in the form huge text boils down to 1 thought: “Choose scoring championships and look at the statistics.”

But unfortunately, bookmakers also study statistics and therefore, by choosing a scoring championship, we automatically get odds that are an order of magnitude lower.

For example, the Russian Premier League

Here's the Swiss Super League

Strategy for outcomes by halves

The point of the strategy is to choose a match with a clear favorite and bet on victory in the 2nd half. In this case, the odds will be higher than if you bet on winning the entire match.

According to statistics, most of the goals are scored in the 2nd half. After all weak sides the opponent has already been studied, and motivation is on active actions more, because in this half the fate of the entire match is decided.

If the favorite is already winning, the motivation is to earn more goals in the tournament by playing with a clear outsider, since all his tactical mistakes have already been studied in the 1st half. If he loses, then the motivation is winning.

Yellow Card Strategy

The article on individual total has already been touched upon.

To what was said there, you can add the following: pay close attention to the choice of bookmaker and the rules for calculating the total yellow cards. Below are examples from the rules of two well-known bookmakers.

Betting strategy for virtual football (e-football)

First of all, let's define the terms. E-sports are competitions between real teams or players in computer games, the most popular of which are Dota 2, Counter-Strike, Starcraft 2, League of Legends. Bookmakers offer bets on the results of championships in these games. FIFA-16, 17 are still lagging behind in popularity.

By virtual sports (in this case we are interested in football), we mean a simulation real game, computer model (without human intervention).

In fact it's slot machine, operating according to a given algorithm (program), simulating a game between two teams. The programs used in different bookmakers differ from each other. This could be a VFL championship (virtual football league) or, for example, the Champions League, which has similarities to FIFA, only on both sides there are computers. This is called betting on virtual football or cyber football. We are not talking about real cybersportsmen here.

Some bookmakers offer e-football betting

What are the features of betting on virtual football:

• Matches are ongoing, non-stop, bets are settled quickly
• No pre-match analysis of opponents required
• The betting markets offered are the same as in real football
• High bookmaker margin

Are there strategies for betting on virtual football? Yes, similar to casino gaming systems, slot machines and so on. Some experts note that the virtual sports section should not be in the line of betting on sporting events, but rather included in the “Casino” section. And this, in my opinion, is fair...

Epilogue.

Many betting fans are busy searching for a magical strategy that will allow them to “beat” the bookmaker and take revenge for years of “failures”. Belief in miracles is ineradicable. That is why the Internet is filled with “working”, “profitable”, “effective”, “best”, “most effective”, and finally, “win-win” football betting strategies. With difficulty linking words into sentences, we are told how simple everything turns out to be. Buy a strategy, strictly follow its rules, and “you will be happy”...

Regular clients of bookmakers earn good money by betting on certain teams. Of course, they didn’t start winning right away, but through trial and error, a win-win betting strategy is developed. For those who are just trying their strength and luck in this action, experienced players It is advised to use previously developed and common tactics and strategies. Over time, having gotten used to it and acquired skills, there is less and less doubt about who to bet on.

Beginning bookmaker players get confused by a wide variety of bets, have poor understanding of the flow of information, make hasty conclusions, end up betting on the wrong team to win and lose money. At first it is safe to bet 12; if the result of the match is not a draw, it will be a winner. Beginners learn, gain experience, get comfortable and lose less and less often. There are some players who, at the first failure, refuse to try their luck in the future. Experience is needed everywhere and in everything.

In order to relatively competently and successfully bet on victory and make other bets, beginners are offered ubiquitous strategic moves that help reduce the likelihood of monetary losses. Experienced tactics suggest how best to bet on the outcome of a match and reduce the possibility of losing. A win-win strategy for betting on football - of course there is none, but they are looking for it, getting as close to it as possible and winning.

Variety of football betting strategies

A bet on the outcome of a game is considered easy and understandable, especially a bet 12 . Nothing complicated, the player bets on the outcome of the game expected by him or the privateers. Understanding football, knowing the level of the teams, and already having some experience, this tactic always brings a win. But a certain risk still remains.

This strategy has one of the options in mind:

• one of the teams wins - bet 12;
• the result of the game is a draw;
• double outcome - bet on the corridor;
• betting system or express.

However, in terms of odds, bets on the likely winner are very low, moreover, they are underestimated by bookmakers, so caution is required when making a decision.

Betting on the result of a game is most often used when one of the teams is significantly stronger than the other. The option to win has the probability of a strong team losing, but the chance of winning is much higher. If a match involves two teams of approximately equal strength, the outcome of the game is difficult to predict. In this case, this strategy is only sometimes successful.

It is profitable to bet “on the corridor”. This tactic involves a double bet. A couple of bets are placed on different outcomes of the upcoming game. As a result, a “corridor” is formed; the difference in values, to some extent, guarantees a win. This strategy is usually used in combination with long-term and live betting. At the same time, they first bet on one result of the game; during the meeting, when one team has an advantage, an additional bet is made. This makes it possible to get a small profit from the difference in results.

Best football betting options

The listed tactics make it possible to neither lose nor lose money and, to a lesser extent, win. Anyway, good win when betting on a strong team or counting on a “corridor”, it is impossible. Here low coefficient, which only allows you to return the money bet, without any “gain”. To win well, you need to take risks. Those who do not take risks find it difficult to count on the victory of their tactics.

A risky tactic is to bet on the result of the first half of the game. There are more high coefficient than when betting on the final result of the meeting. The higher the odds, the riskier the bet. If the teams are not equal in strength, players take risks by betting on the strong team. Even outsiders, trying to show results, can give their best in the first half and spring a surprise; as a rule, there are not enough of them for the second half of the match.

A tempting odds (often above 3) can be found when choosing a bet on a draw. The best football betting strategy, one of the most profitable. It is done when opponents of equal strength play. Much depends on the state of the opponents, on whose field they are playing, etc. It often happens that outsiders, on their own field, achieve a draw in a game with favorites.

Theoretical calculation of the likely result of a football match

The result of the team meeting depends on numerous factors. Using simple mathematical operations, the most likely ending of a football match is calculated. Knowing the results of several latest games meeting teams, you can carry out simple calculations to make a forecast:

1. The average number of goals scored by the host team on their own field and the average number of goals conceded by the guests on a foreign field are determined (the last 5 games of both teams are taken).
2. And vice versa. The average number of goals conceded by the host of the match on their own field and the average number of goals scored by guests on a foreign field are determined (the last 5 matches are taken).
3. The results obtained are possible in the upcoming game (there is such a possibility). They bet on the victory of one or another opponent.

The calculations are rough, but they help determine the likely winner and predict with what score the upcoming match will end, or a draw. An underestimated bookmaker odds are also revealed.

Additional Information

If desired, turn football betting As an indicator of decent earnings, you can resort to a “simulator”. This is nothing more than training before real bets.

Skills are acquired in a certain way. One of the upcoming matches is selected, based on own analysis of both teams, taking into account all the available information, bets are made. Bets are made in the same way that a player would place real money, which is the most profitable in his opinion. After the end of the match, it becomes clear whether the player would have won and how much the bookmaker would have paid him or lost money.

Thus, by acquiring skills, you can gradually improve your real chances to win. When the winning statistics approach 80%, it is considered that the preparation was successful and you can confidently play for real money. Simulation sites on the Internet offer their services, there are offices that open virtual accounts where you can try your hand.

To decide on the most profitable strategy, you have to try them all. It is not right to start with large and risky bets. At first, it is better to try those where the probability of losing is minimal. Gradually, gaining experience, you can move on to more complex bets, which involve several options. Moving on to special bets, you need to at least familiarize yourself with the theory of probability. It can sober up gamblers at the right moment, since the winning percentage of such bets is not high.

All that remains is to wish you good luck.

Instructions for making money using the “Win-Win Strategy for the Favorite” - a variation of “Dogon” with a yield of 30% to the bank. This is a guaranteed income.

Introduction

We recommend reading the entire strategy to the end. Try the strategy for a small pot and small bets. And when you understand that the strategy works, you can increase the bank. Choose a bookmaker's office. We recommend a time-tested, reliable and timely payment bookmaker's office official in the Russian Federation "Leon " bonus code Leon+ and bk "League Betting" " (bookmakers Leon and League of Betting are legal companies in the Russian Federation on the Internet online). Having chosen a bookmaker, let’s proceed directly to the strategy.

This strategy uses several types of strategies - these are such popular and proven strategies as Dogon, fixed profit and Frank Belanger System No. 8

• Fixed profit- the main objective of this strategy is a fixed amount bet
• Frank Belanger System No. 8- a strategy for playing in a bookmaker’s office, with the help of which betters can systematically make a profit with a bet pass rate of only 40%
• Dogon- a sports betting strategy in which the size of each subsequent bet depends on the result achieved by previous bets. The main goal is to return lost funds and make some profit. A special case of this strategy is the Martingale strategy.

It’s no secret that the “Dogon” system uses the Martingale strategy system, which is often used in casinos when playing roulette. But there you play with a casino, or if it’s an online casino, with a program, and it’s impossible to win against a casino. With bets at bookmakers using the Martingale system, which is used in the “catch-up” strategy, the situation is completely different because here you bet on live events and people - everything depends only on them and various factors. And the outcomes of events in sports are repeated with different frequency

Example of choosing a favorite

For example, take one leader of any football championship and consider the championship that has already passed.

Consider the Spanish Football Championship. La Liga Standings - Season 2012-2013

The table shows what championship was played 38 games 32 victories 2 losses and 4 draws.

Now the explanation: When betting on the catch-up strategy, you choose a club and bet on it throughout the championship on the result you choose, for example, on the victory of your chosen team. Having chosen the bet condition, namely, you want to have a certain profit from each bet.

Selecting the bet size to obtain the desired profit (formula)

Let’s say that our profit will be 100 rubles, our club is the favorite of the Spanish championship “Barcelona”. From the last championship it is clear that if you made bets with the condition that with each bet you would receive a profit of 100 rubles, then for the whole season you would win 32x100 rubles = 3200 rub. without losing the initial bank Since Barcelona is considered a favorite, the odds for its games are generally less than 1.5 and in order to get the desired profit you need to calculate the bet amount for each round using the formula

ST = (PS+NS) / (KF-1)

• ST – required amount for bet;
• NS – “desired” amount of profit;
• KF – bookmaker odds;
• PS – amount of lost bets

For example, in the first bet in the first round you have PS=0, if your KF=1.5 then to get 100 rubles you need to bet 200 rubles. Having considered the initial step - choosing a team, the desired profit and the type of bet (ours is on victory), we move on to the next step to the “Dogon” strategy itself.

The main principle of the strategy for the favorite is the desired profit

With the strategy, you place the first bet (we have a certain condition desired profit)

(100r and PS=0) by calculating the rate using the above formula. We bet everything, waited for the result - your team won, then we continue to bet on next games according to the same principle (condition of a certain desired profit of 100 rubles and PS = 0) until the team loses or plays in a draw.

Once a team loses:

Now your bet will be calculated according to the basic formula where PS will matter, namely the lost amount (we have 200 rubles) and we get if for example

KF= 1.4 for the next match our bet will be equal to

200+100/1.4-1= 750 rub.

You place a bet, if the team wins then you get

750x1.4=1050 from here you can see that your profit will be 1 00rub = 1050 (total profit from the bet) - (750+200 is the amount of your bets).

If you lose your bet again for the second time in a row

again we calculate the bet amount using the formula for example

KF=1.8

then ST =200+750+100/1.8-1=1313

and again we bet on your team of the next round.

1313x1.8=2363 where your profit is 100 rubles b = 2363 (total profit) - (1313+750 + 200 the amount of your bets)

The bet wins, we go to the initial conditions for calculating the bet PS = 0 and so we play according to the method described above until the end of the championship or reaching the desired one total profit from your bank.

And I almost forgot about one of the most important conditions in strategy - the size of your bank before starting bets on this strategy. The initial bank should be such that, for example, if it suddenly comes to a series of 3 or more lost bets, you have enough money for a bet, taking into account that you can win back the amount of all bets lost before and still have the desired profit. In this example, with the condition accepted by us (the desired profit is 100 rubles), here the initial bank will be on average 10,000 rubles.

First, register with a bookmaker and try this strategy on paper conditionally, writing everything down on a piece of paper or with a small bank and bets. Then, once you are convinced, you can start playing for real money or larger amounts.

Example and analysis of strategy

Now let's look at all Barcelona's games in the championship and why we chose this team for the Dogon strategy.

Green .- won bets

Kras and Yellow - lost bets

Picture below

When analyzing the table, it is clear that in the season there were not even series, i.e. 2 or more lost bets in a row. This is why the choice of club for betting is made - it is a favorite and it is very rare for it to have a series of 3 or more consecutive defeats and draws. So play this strategy on the favorites, betting on their victory and you will always make a profit. Once you reach a double pot, you can withdraw money from the bookmaker. Play in several offices, and choose those offices where the margin is lower.

Play in several championships with different favorites. Many pros in sports betting make money with this strategy.

The only downside to this strategy is the time it takes – after all, the championship lasts more than one month.

See below for an example of strategy calculations:

Bank 20,000 rub. desired profit 200 rub. bets on P (favourite victory) consider 10 rounds of a fictitious championship.

Formula:

ST= PS +NS/КF-1

1. ST - calculated rate
2. PS - amount of lost bets
3. NS – desired profit
4. KF coefficient for the match

1st round favorite win

KF=1.4 calculate ST =0 +200/1.4-1=200/0.4=500

500x1.4=700 our bank = 20200

2 round victory of the favorite

КF=1.6 we calculate ST =0 +200/1.6-1=200/0.6=334

334x1.6=534 our bank = 20400

3 round victory of the favorite

КF=1.3 we calculate ST =0 +200/1.3-1=200/0.3=667

667x1.3=867 our bank = 20600

Round 4 draw favorite

KF=1.7 calculate ST =0 +200/1.7-1=200/0.7=285

285x1.7=485 (in case of victory) the bet did not work our bank = 20600-285=20315

5th round favorite win

KF=1.45 calculate ST =285 +200/1.45-1=485/0.45=1077

1077x1.45=1563 our bank = 19238+1563= 20800

6th round defeat of the favorite

КF=1.9 we calculate ST =0 +200/1.9-1=200/0.9=222

222x1.9=422 (in case of victory) the bet did not work our bank = 20800-222=20578

Round 7 draw favorite

КF=1.75 we calculate ST =222 +200/1.75-1=422/0.75=562

562x1.75=984 (in case of victory) the bet did not work our bank = 20578-562=20016

Round 8 draw favorite

КF=1.6 we calculate ST =222+562 +200/1.7-1=984/0.6=1640

1640x1.6=2624 (in case of victory) the bet did not work our bank = 20016-1640=18376

9th round favorite wins

КF=1.5 we calculate ST =222+562+1640+200/1.5-1=200/0.5=3936

5248x1.5=7872 (in case of victory) the bet wins our bank =13128 +7872=21000

10th round victory of the favorite

FK=1.35 calculate ST=0 +200/1.35-1=200/0.35=571

571x1.35=771 our bank = 21200

The example shows that for ten rounds our profit was 1200 rubles. Yes, not much, but this is the downside of this strategy: it takes a lot of time and doesn’t make much profit. To tell the truth, in the example we looked at the worst options - a series of three defeats and a draw (the bets were not played) and another draw, and all this in 10 rounds. Usually favorites have 2-4 losses and 3-5 draws during the season. Well, the example was made specifically to show you all the subtleties of the strategy.

You can also see from the example that the higher the KF, the lower your bank losses. Usually the odds are high in matches with the championship leaders. And therefore this is a big plus of the strategy because if the bet does not work, you will not lose much since the calculated bet NS is directly proportional to the odds for the match KF. For example, the game of Real Madrid and Barcelona KF on them is somewhere around 2.0 and if you make a bet on this KF then calculate (if you take that PS = 0 and the desired profit is 100 rubles) then if the bet loses you will lose 100 rubles the amount of the desired profit.

Well, for example, if you took for example NS = 200 rubles

If the team wins 35 games in a season, then you will earn 35x200=7000 rubles and this is a guaranteed profit.

To increase profit you need to increase NS - desired profit. For example, your NS = 10,000 rubles

Then for a season, if we take the above example, it will be 35x10,000 = 350,000 rubles. But the initial bank should be accordingly, below are examples of banks for different NS (desired profit). The bank is approximate, if it is larger it is even better.

Bank calculation for strategy

Some of my friends play this strategy and their NS = 15000-2000 rubles. Well, in a year they are somewhere around 500-600 thousand rubles. in profit. Yes, their banks range from 1.5 million rubles and above. But the income is appropriate.

On average 45-50 thousand rubles per month. if you take that the team plays about 5 games a month.

And one more piece of advice when choosing a bookmaker, make sure that the office has high limits on bets on matches or, best of all, none at all.

We also recommend the championships - Germany, Spain - here the same leaders have been for a long time - such super clubs as Bayern, Real Madrid, Barcelona. But it’s not necessarily possible to go to hockey, but there is a high probability of long losing streaks.

But in order to reduce or, one might say, reduce the unbeaten streak to a minimum, bet not purely on victory, but on PH (double outcome: victory and draw) or F(0) handicap to zero on the favorite (higher odds, but in case of a draw there will be a refund)Yes, the odds are lower, but you will increase your income because you will eliminate lost bets on draws.

This is how many pros make money. Well, for example, even using the example of the above-mentioned Spanish Championship 2012-2013, we will see that leaving the same desired profit of 100 rubles, but the condition is that we are not betting purely on victory, but with a double outcome on the favorite PH then we will lose only 2 bets. and profit will increase by 4x100=400 rubles due to excluded draws. Super true. Simple math and that's it.

Calculation of profit in %

We calculate the profit as a percentage - with the desired profit of 100 rubles and the bank 10,000 rubles, your income for the season will be with a bet on the winner P - 3,200 rubles, this is +32% of the profit 13,200 rubles your bank.. And if you make the desired profit from each bet 10,000 rubles and the bank 1,000,000 rubles - per season 320,000 rubles. You can go on vacation without worrying about expenses. No bank will give you such interest. It’s worth a try, but first try a strategy with small amounts, for example, take the desired profit of 50 rubles or the minimum bet at a particular bookmaker. Gentlemen, place your bets and start earning money, for example, to buy a new car.

Thank you for your attention!

Many young bettors have been trying for a long time to find a “philosopher’s” stone for themselves in sports betting, developing a super universal strategy that does not allow a single mistake. They believe that there is a theory in which you can make 100, 1000 and even more bets and not one of them will lose. All this really only applies to young players taking their first steps in the world of betting. But why don't professionals care about such ideas? Maybe betting on sports without losing is not possible at all?

Below we have to answer the indicated questions. And in the course of our analysis, enough interesting points, which young bettors miss a little due to their inexperience.

How not to lose on sports betting

This is exactly how the question is asked professional players, they are more concerned about how not to lose in the long run, rather than how to place bets so as not to lose even once. And there are 2 ways to do this:

• independently develop a working theory and tactics for betting;
• use the services of professional cappers.

Let us consider both methods in detail, highlighting their strengths and weaknesses.

Independent development of a betting strategy

The goal of every young player is 100 interest rates on sports, without allowing a single losing bet. And this is their main mistake. Why? Sometimes, when trying to achieve such a doomed goal, young bettors discard really winning theories of the game. How does this happen?

They begin to analyze a strategy they developed on their own or adopted from someone else until one bet was lost. And such a strategy is discarded after the first loss. But if they continued to analyze and test it, they would be able to make sure that over a long distance they could get a good positive result. This is where the difference lies.

Young bettors are looking for an answer to the question of how to bet on sports without losing a single loss. Experienced bettors try to understand how to win over a distance, which allows, for example, to lose 20-30-60 bets out of 100, but in the end achieve an overall plus.

You see, the bettor lost 14 bets out of 38, but he is still in the black by $123.

It should be understood that for more than 100 years, when people all over the world actively play bets, not a single theory has been invented where the result was 100%, there was not a single loss, this is simply unrealistic. But a lot of theories have been developed that, with a competent approach, give a positive result over a distance or a certain period of time: a week, 2 weeks, a month, etc.

For clarity, you can take one such theory from those proposed by our experienced specialists: “Working strategies for betting on Formula 1.”

Everything is written here in simple language, even for those who have never been interested in this sport at all. At the same time, do not be lazy and carefully read the material offered for your attention; it discusses a really working theory, which is used even by many experienced bettors. It doesn’t require a lot of time, but if you use it wisely, it will give you a really positive result at a distance. This theory will not ensure a 100 percent win for each bet, but the overall result will be positive.

Using the services of professional cappers

Many people understand that for various reasons they will not be able to develop a successful theory of the game, so they conduct a painstaking search for professional cappers. But it so happens that the vast majority of young bettors fall for scammers who offer to buy an “iron” forecast from them, the probability of winning is 100%.

As soon as you see this phrase: “iron sports forecasts,” you shouldn’t come here anymore.

Not a single decent professional capper will say that his forecast is “iron” or 100%. He can say that his proposed bet has a high probability of winning. Why? Everything is very simple. A professional has his own working theories. He knows that they are profitable in the long run, he also knows that out of 100 bets he may lose 20-40, but in the end he will be in the black. He does not know which bets will lose, but the probability of winning each bet is extremely high. This is why a professional will never say that such and such a bet is 100% winning. If someone has decided to buy the forecasts of a real professional, then they must buy everything.

But there are a number of resources where you can use free, intelligent forecasts. Such forecasts can also be found in our “Forecasts” section.

We do not give, so to speak, “iron” forecasts, but we offer our subscribers bets with a high probability of winning. Forecasts are published every day for many sports: football, tennis, hockey, basketball, boxing, etc. It happens that a series of failures comes, but it is always followed by a series of good victories. Many subscribers, by the way, have developed entire strategies based on this and are achieving good results at a distance.

Let's sum it up

You shouldn’t make a popular mistake, don’t look for a universal strategy, and if someone offers you one, don’t pay attention to such a charlatan. If you want to independently develop a successful game theory, you must take into account that winning bets will always be accompanied by losing ones, we must try to ensure that there are significantly more of the former than the latter.

In an effort to use the experience of professionals, never rely on “iron” forecasts, such things do not happen in nature, even the most reliable bets can accidentally play.

The most important key to success is self-confidence and high performance.