After analyzing the Internet, I saw a lot of unnecessary slag. Everyone ensures that the strategies work and generate good profits. If this were really the case, then no one would show it publicly. Maximum sale and in minimum quantities at exorbitant prices.
Taking a short detour, let's get started with our strategy. There are several good theories, but we will choose only one. This football betting strategy TB 0.5 used in the following cases:
- The status of the match should not be important for both teams
- We don’t take matches of young guys, the odds are low
- The office must give at least 1.5 for our event (it could be Leon, 1xstavka)
The essence of the strategy
Observing all the above rules, we get to work. Having waited until the first half of the football match has passed, we look at the odds for the total greater than 0.5. It should be around 1.5, if so, then we concentrate on the match and turn on our intuition. We look at the team’s statistics using the Myscore service, or in the office itself, if it provides one. Lots of blows, dangerous attacks? Are there any preconditions for a red card? Pressure from one team on another. We analyze the situation, what is happening on the field. Around 50-60 minutes of the second half, the coefficient should be at least 1.5. If we are satisfied with everything, then we charge the money. We wait for the bet to pass; in case of loss, we use the catch-up strategy.
Experience gained from the strategy
I used the strategy several times, the amounts were small. Mainly used in pre-season friendly matches of foreign clubs. The cross-country ability was good; in the near future I will test it more seriously. I liked both the coefficient and the profit. Once I managed to lose 5,000 rubles. I used a catch-up strategy, starting from 800 rubles. This looks irrational, but then it was the only way to act. If I started with 100 rubles, I would be in the black since the next match was over. Let's note the advantages of the strategy:
- Good odds
- Many events of this kind
- Works only on a catch-up system, which can lead to the loss of the entire bank
- Long wait for bet calculation, teams can score in 30-40 minutes
That's all. The strategy is laid out in introductory form, you can try to play with it. We cannot guarantee winnings. Rely on your analysis and knowledge gained through experience. Thank you for your attention.
A betting system that allows you to get a significant amount of profit without putting your bankroll at risk. As is clear from the title, we will bet that there will be more than 0.5 goals in the match. This means we bet that at least one goal will be scored by any team. Only the result 0-0 will break our chain of victories. If you choose your matches carefully, you can easily achieve a string of 30-60 wins.
This is what we strive for.
The system is progressive. This means that for each next match we bet everything we won in the previous one. Let's repeat this until we feel like it's time to stop.
The system is good for use on Betfair and in-play markets (in play)- that is, during the game.
To use it, you do not need trading skills or any additional knowledge on the Batfair exchange. The ability to make a simple single bet will be enough. The reason why Batfair is suitable is high coefficient(higher than bookmakers) and greater liquidity on almost all matches.
First
First, decide on the bet size. You don't need huge sums. 2 or 10 dollars will be enough.
Second
Find a game in which you think at least one goal will be scored. If you are not an expert in football, you can use the forecasts of others.
Third
Select the market “total over 0.5 goals”
In the picture above, our case is highlighted in yellow - "one goal or more in a match"
Don't place your bet before the game! Wait for the match to start. This system works during the match. We will place a bet as soon as the odds increase slightly.
Several options for entering the game:
- if you are aiming for a quick goal, then place your bet immediately after the start of the game.
Advice: the betting odds must be no lower than 1.11
! Don't bet at odds lower than this. If the early goal was scored before the odds became acceptable, it's a shame. Switch to the next match. Don't forget that Batfair takes a commission 5%
from your profit, so wait for the odds at least 1.11
.
- you can wait 30 minutes, since most goals are scored after this time mark. By this time the coefficient will increase sufficiently.
-you may not bet in the first half and place a bet in the second. The coefficient will be higher 1.2
which will increase your winnings.
It's up to you to decide what is most convenient for you!
Let's see how much we can win using this system with a bet size of $10.
If you bet with an average odds of 1.10, then 30 consecutive wins will give you
$10 x 17 = $170!
If you bet with an average odds of 1.20, then 30 consecutive wins will give you
$10 x 237 = $2,370!
As you can see, the system is worthy of attention!
Choose matches that clearly invite goals to be scored. Play on Betfair or earn even more by betting and managing the accounts of other people who have invested in you on BetPamm
Today we’ll look at a fairly popular system of betting on goals in the first half. As you understand, we will be talking about football matches. Let’s start, as usual, with the essence of the strategy, consider an example for understanding, and study the algorithms for betting in LIVE mode. Yes, it is in Live that you will very often have to use a strategy. Well, at the end, as usual, there will be a conclusion.
The essence of the strategy Goal in the first half
As I already guessed, we need to predict. Which team will be able to score a goal in the first half of a football match. This bet has its own name - First half total over 0.5 or TB 0.5 if abbreviated. Naturally, there is nothing complicated here at first glance. But where is the salt?
How to select the right team to bet on
There are several approaches to selecting teams that will need to be covered so that you have a full range of options. Especially for general development it will come in handy.
Selecting a command using a formula
We select a football event, for example K1 - K2. To determine who to bet on, you need to look at the statistics of the last 5 matches and how many goals they scored in the first half. For calculation we use the coefficients: A goal scored at home is 1 goal, a goal scored away is 2 goals, a goal missed at home is 2 goals, a goal missed away is 1 goal. Using these parameters, we calculate statistics for 5 games.
- For example, for K1 - scored 1 goal at home = 1 goal, scored 2 goals away = 4 goals, conceded 1 goal at home = 2 goals, conceded 3 goals away = 3 goals.
- Let’s say for K2 - scored 1 goal at home = 1 goal, scored 0 goals away = 0 goals, conceded 4 goals at home = 8 goals, conceded 4 goals away = 4 goals.
Now, using a simple formula, we will calculate the odds that will allow us to find out who has a better chance of scoring a goal in the 1st half.
(Goals scored at home / Goals conceded away) + (Goals scored away / Goals conceded)
Coefficient for K1 = (1/4)+(4/8)=0.25+0.5= 0.75
Coefficient for K2 = (1/3) + (0/2) = 0.33
The lower the odds, the higher the likelihood that the team will score a goal in the 1st half. Result of the match: Team K2 scored 2 goals in the first half.
For this strategy to work properly, the coefficient must be more than 0.6 , but if the coefficient turns out to be 1, then it is better not to bet on this match at all.
Selection by last dry draw
This type of selection is quite simple, for this you will need statistics for the last 5 seasons, goals scored in 1.2 halves and generally goals scored in a match in different leagues, we will put them in a single table and use them to determine the % of entry. I will provide data on three of them. I think you can do the rest of the work yourself.
- Germany Bundesliga: Goals scored in the 1st half: 67,4% 26,5% Goals scored in matches 93,9%
- Germany 3rd League: Goals scored in the 1st half: 57,9% Goals scored in the 2nd half: 32,4% Goals scored in matches 93,9%
- Egypt Premier League: Goals scored in the 1st half: 52,4% Goals scored in the 2nd half: 36,4% Goals scored in matches 88,8%
- We are looking for an event in which the last outcome was 0-0 (dry or eggs)
- We determine the country and league in which the teams play. We analyze using the table whether it is suitable.
- If the event is suitable, then we bet the usual TB0.5 in the first half; if they scored a goal in the first half, we bet that they will score in the second half, in order to get back the money spent and also win.
- Goal in the second half! Bingo.
I advise Austrian Bundesliga, English Premier League, English Premier League (Junior 21), German Bundesliga, Hungarian Top League, Belgian Top League, Scandinavian League countries (Norway, Sweden, Finland), Dutch Major League, Czech Premier League.
I do not advise: Argentina, Egypt, all cup matches, friendlies, especially international ones, because the result is too unpredictable.
Selection by home favorite
There is an option to select matches and teams for betting on goals in the first half by searching for the scoring favorite who is playing at home. To be specific, you need scoring team favorite with odds no more than 1.7 and for this team to play Houses, only if these conditions are met can one hope for a positive outcome of the bets.
To win, you need to place a bet at the end of the first half of the first half. The odds usually rise to 2. If the favorite team attacks a lot and often creates scoring chances, then you should bet. However, if the game is inactive and there are few scoring chances, then you need to make an opposite bet in order to win back the bet or even be a little in the black, i.e. We create a type of fork to insure the bet.
Insuring your bet on Goal in the first half
As described above, in the middle of the first half, if the score is not open and there are no prerequisites, then you can use Live to make an opposite bet in order to insure the original one. Or you can bet on a goal in the second half.
bet365 betting scheme for goals in the first and second halves
There is a certain scheme tailored for the bet365 bookmaker (but is also suitable for other bookmakers). I reviewed it separately in the blog: Bet365 betting scheme for goals in the first and second half.
Conclusion
The strategy is quite interesting and attractive, but as old as the World. In general, if you have statistics and have a good understanding of teams, it can give a good profit. I think this is a worthy strategy, especially in conjunction with financial strategies
Everything written below applies only to betting on football, unless another sport is indicated.
I would like to try out a strategy that just recently came to mind. Briefly: football, total over 0.5 (odds 1.05 - 1.07), express bet of 3, maximum 5 events, bet from RUR 50,000. Yes, it looks risky, you can lose a lot of money at once, and the potential winnings are much less than the amount invested. But maybe there is still common sense in this strategy?
And now, in order.
A little bit about yourself
I always wanted to bet less and win more. I am not an expert in sports (to make out Soccer game I can’t do tactical and technical actions a la Bubnov). I don’t consider myself an experienced bettor either. - I mainly place bets during major events: World Cup, European Football Championship, etc. Previously, I bet on wins, non-losses, totals 2.5 over/under, handicaps. I never bet on statistics (corners, cards) - not my thing. I only use express trains, I don’t install systems. I actively bet at the last European Championship 2016. I made about 15 bets, every 3rd one was a winner, but the profit was only 3000 rubles. for the entire championship! This is very little!Why am I looking for a new strategy?
I'm tired of betting on match results (win, non-loss). The sport is too unpredictable. Favorites often draw or lose to not the strongest teams, and in a dispute between 2 approximately equal teams, the outcome is very difficult to predict. I started trying to bet on totals, betting on under 3.5 or even under 4.5. But it happens that, contrary to all forecasts, teams can break through and score a bunch of goals on each other.Total is more than 0.5 and an attempt to justify the strategy
Yes, there is such a bet, although I didn’t notice it before. The coefficient is very small, depending on the class of teams: maybe 1.05, or maybe 1.1. Coming from the simplest, banal logic: the goal of each team is to score a goal to the opponent, which they try to do within 90 minutes. As a rule, either one or both teams succeed in this. The result 0-0 occurs, but very, very rarely. This is the only danger to our strategy that we must try to avoid.I don’t care who wins and how many goals they score and concede. Let the favorites lose or draw. The main thing is to have at least one single goal per match. There is no need to be an expert or have a great understanding of sports. And I’ve already seen a lot of forecasts from experts. Like them, all of us, ordinary bettors, try to think logically before a match: we analyze the state of the teams, their latest results, we look at whether it is a home match for the team we are betting on or an away match, we evaluate the teams’ motivation... And how many mistakes happen: anything can happen on the field that we could not predict before the match, using our logic: for example, 2 red cards for Roma in the match with Porto on 08/23/16 and goodbye to the favorite. And there are a great many such examples.
Large bet - small odds. Event selection
Because odds for totals greater than 0.5 tend to zero (or rather, one), then in order to win something, you need to risk more, much more a larger amount than most of us are used to. The list of events is also limited: if Barcelona or Manchester City is playing, then there is no such bet at all, and the line starts with a total of 1.5. If you encounter very chronic average players with a weak attack, then the danger of a 0-0 result increases (along with the coefficient, which can reach 1.1.). And if, say, Arsenal, or any other “name” team plays with some average player, then the coefficient for the total is greater, 0.5 will be 1.05 - 1.06.If we place an express bet consisting of 3 events with odds. 1.05, then with a bet of 50,000 the winnings will be 50,000 x 1.1576 = 57880. You need to win 6.3 bets just to double the amount of the initial bet, i.e. win + 50,000 rub.
You can make an express bet from 5 events, or choose events where the odds for the total are more than 0.5 and higher, for example, 1.07-1.09. But the risk accordingly increases.
Finally
The quieter you go, the further you'll get. Greed and the desire for quick profit - best qualities, which bookmakers would like to see in their clients. I think for such a strategy you need to have a bank account of somewhere between 200,000 and 500,000 rubles. and nerves of steel. I expect that with express trains consisting of 3 events (with their careful selection), winnings will happen often, very often, which will cover possible losses. You can bet 2 times a week: choose events from each game day major European championships.Whether this strategy is good or bad - time will tell. But I understood one thing for sure: if you really want to win something, you need a lot of patience and... a lot of money. There is nothing to do with one thousand rubles for this purpose in the bookmaker. And with two too. To win big (in the long term, a little each time), you need to risk a much larger amount.
As I said at the beginning, I am not experienced player , so don't judge too harshly. I just wanted to think about this strategy.
