Catching up with quarters in basketball reviews. How long does a basketball game last?

How to use total bets in basketball, practical analysis existing strategies and advice, can you win, as well as an overview of programs for calculating the match total based on statistics, can you trust it? All this is in this article.

A special feature of betting on basketball is the huge variety of totals in the line. This is explained by the division of the game into halves, quarters and the presence of a large number of general and individual statistical indicators related to the total.

What are there

What bets on total in basketball do bookmakers offer?

In the main line of the match there is a classic total - the number of points scored during the match by both teams. You can bet on the TB or TM of the specified amount of points.

Additional totals in basketball can be different. This

• Bets on a different total than the average.
• The number of points scored by teams not over the entire game, but over a certain interval - half a game, a quarter.
• Total points for even or odd (match, half, quarter)
• Individual total. This could be points scored, the number of fouls, rebounds, free throws, three-pointers, etc. The bookmaker offers such bets on both teams and individual players. ( What happens in other sports)
• Asian total ( what does it look like in basketball)

There are also specific total bets:

Does total in basketball count with overtime (OT)?

Beginners inevitably have a question: is the total in basketball counted with or without overtime? The word overtime is often abbreviated as "OT".

There is no uniform approach in BC. Some calculate taking into account overtime, others without.

Some bookmakers set separate odds for regular time and taking into account overtime... Let's give an example of an excerpt from the rules of one well-known bookmaker.

Which total is more often even or odd?

Which is more common – total even or odd. On the Internet you can find arguments from supporters of both points of view, which are usually superficial.

The rules of basketball are such that in addition to two-point, three-point, free throws, there are also other situations, for example, when teams are punished with an additional free throw (after a player scores a foul). All this makes, in my opinion, the choice of even/odd random.

That is, at a distance total, even or odd has no advantage.

This is confirmed by the even/odd odds at bookmakers - they are usually the same.

However there is interesting point: When a basketball match comes to an end, for example, 2-3 minutes remain, the even/odd total begins to change depending on the current score.

This suggests that over a short period of time, the two-point shot option still becomes the most likely.

This is the basis of one of the strategies that we will consider next.

Basketball total betting strategies

Review of some strategies for totals in basketball.

Strategy for total in quarters even or odd + catch up

The strategy is simple and attractive; there are many reviews about it on the Internet that are diametrically opposed. Its supporters claim that it is based on statistics, namely, quarters in a basketball game very rarely go so that they all end with an even or odd total. Regarding the probability of this, figures from 90% to 97% are given.

The strategy algorithm is as follows: We choose a basketball match, basically any one, then place a bet on the total even (or odd) in the first quarter. We watch the broadcast (or just follow the score online). The bet passes - we move on to the next match, if not - we start catching up, doubling the bet amount on even in the second quarter and so on until the “victorious end”.

Let's try the strategy in practice

On March 27, as part of the next NBA game day, 5 meetings took place. Let's consider the action of the strategy using the example of one of them. The screenshot below gives us stats 10 last matches both teams. The sample, of course, is small, but still we observe that 2 matches out of 20 ended with quarters of even or odd total.

Let's say our bank is 6,000 rubles. The bookmaker set odds of 1.9 for the total even.

Let’s choose the “cautious” option: we determine the planned winnings of 20 rubles, so the initial bet

20/(1.9 – 1) = 20/0.9 = 22 rubles, which is 0.33% of the bankroll

If we want the profit to be fixed, then the bet amount must be calculated each time using the formula

S = (L + W)/K – 1, where L is the planned gain, W is the total loss, K is the coefficient.

In order not to strain your brain too much, there is an online calculator for calculations

We place a bet on total even in the first quarter.

The first quarter ended “not in our favor” – 27:22 (odd total). I note that in live the bookmaker lowered the odds on the odd/even total in the quarter to 1.87 - Thus, we place a bet on the 2nd quarter in the amount

(20 + 22)/(1.87 – 1) = 42/0.87 = 48

In the second quarter we get 31:31 (even total).

Our winnings, as we planned, were – 48*1.87 – (22 + 48) = 90 – 70 = 20 rubles

The bankroll we have chosen is designed for 8 iterations, that is, if two selected matches in a row are not played as we expected, a “loss” cannot be avoided. Therefore, for the sake of experiment, we continue the game.

The next two matches (which do not overlap each other in time), in which we repeat playing on even quarters -

Memphis Grizzlies @ Golden State Warriors and Portland Trail Blazers @ Los Angeles Laker

In the first of them, only the third quarter (27:27) brings an even total.

And finally, in the last match, I must admit, quite quickly, we get 4 odd totals.

Our loss (amount of bets in 4 iterations) – 22 + 48 + 103 + 222 = 395 rubles

We managed to “track” quarters for even four of them. The first quarter of the meeting between the Detroit Pistons and the New York Knicks ends with a score of 36:34, our bet goes through. Profit - 20 rubles.

In the next three matches, using the above calculations, we receive a fixed profit (20 rubles) in the first, second and third steps, respectively. So in two game day NBA we received income 20*6 = 120 rubles

This strategy can be modified depending on the player’s “imagination”.

1. If the first bet did not work out, for example, even, then the next one is made on odd, etc.
2. The player enters the game live and only if the first two quarters end on even or odd. He, of course, bets on the opposite result.

Unless, of course, we show miracles of forecasting in comparison with the bookmaker’s team of analysts...

There is a way to influence this alignment. It is based on the change in line from its initial placement until the start of the match.

The player's actions should be as follows: Early in the morning we save the recently set line for basketball (for matches that take place in the evening or at night - NBA). After 10-12 hours we repeat this operation and begin to compare. We see that the line has undergone changes in some positions - somewhere the total went up, somewhere down. These are the matches that interest us. If the gap with the original line is 2 or more points, then players have a chance to have an advantage over the bookmaker.

Let's take a closer look at the example of one of the NBA matches.

In the screenshots we see the initial total from the bookmaker - 229 and before the match - 231. Having entered the additional total list, we find the total 229 and place a bet on TM (229). The coefficient will be 2.19.

Line changes are usually not associated with any exclusive information received by the bookmaker, but solely with the bookmaker’s desire to level cash flows in both directions (this is how the bookmaker makes a profit).

Therefore, the initial total remains the most probable, and we can take advantage of this.

IN in some cases, when the total changes significantly, it makes sense to analyze last news from the team (for example, just before the match it became known that the best sniper, who brings the lion's share of points to the team, was injured).

The match chosen for example ended with a total of 224, our bet was successful.

Let's define the basic rules of the strategy.

• Selecting a bookmaker with the highest odds. This is important, especially at a distance, if you seriously intend to “fight” the bookmaker.
• We record the state of the line as early as possible for the matches we are interested in (optimally, immediately after it is placed), preferably at least 10-12 hours before the start of the matches.
• The authors of the strategy consider 2 points to be the minimum shift in the line when a match can be considered suitable for our strategy.
• We place all bets. In this case, we will have an advantage over the bookmaker at a distance.

Main rule:

If the total increases, we place a bet on TM (from the initial value)

Was 200 → became 204 → set TM (200)

When decreasing, set it to TB (from the original value)

Was 200 → became 197 → set TB (200)

Conclusions.

I think the strategy is worthy of attention. Can be adopted by bettors playing flat. Finding “value” bets requires knowledge and time, and in this case we increase our chances against the bookmaker without spending much effort.

Shchukin's strategy for totals in basketball

The strategy is based on a pre-match analysis of a basketball match and calculation of the probable individual total of both teams based on statistics from the teams’ latest matches and personal meetings. Accordingly, it is assumed that it is possible to correctly guess or calculate the outcome of the match and the overall total.

In short:

1. We select a match for analysis, not forgetting that we need team statistics.
2. We calculate the expected total of the 1st team (hosts) using the formula. To do this, we add up the points scored by the team over the last 5-7 games, and divide the resulting amount by the number of matches. Next, we add 1 to the result obtained for a victory and subtract 1.5 for each of the defeats (the last meetings of the team are taken into account). The calculation of the total ends with the addition of three points – the “host bonus”.
3. We do a similar calculation for the 2nd team, with the exception of adding a “bonus”.
4. Based on the statistics of personal matches over three years, we calculate the average total of the 1st team in these matches. We add the resulting value to the total obtained in steps 2 and divide by two. We do the same actions for the opposing team. As a result, we get the probable total for each team.
5. At the final stage, we make a comparison with the BC line. If the total we received differs from the total set by the bookmaker by more than 5 points, then such a match is suitable for betting. If the total in the line is greater than “ours”, then we bet on TM. Accordingly, if the total in the line is less than “ours”, we bet on TB.

Let's analyze the match analysis using an example:

1. Let's choose one of the NBA matches
   
2. Bookmakers often provide pre-match team statistics.
   It is, naturally, incomplete, more detailed information can be found on one of the statistics analysis sites (for example, https://www.sport12x.com/ru/statistics?sport=9&tourn=31). Result of the last 7 matches of the New York Knicks
   We make a simple calculation: 98 + 95 + 101 + 105 + 110 + 87 + 112 = 708
   708/7 = 101.1
   101.1 + 3 = 104.1
   104.1 + 1 – 6 *1.5 =105.1 – 9 = 96.1
3. Results of the last 7 matches of the Detroit Pistons
   
   87 + 95 + 96 + 112 + 75 + 83 + 96 = 644
   644/7 = 92
   92 + 1 – 6 * 1.5 = 93 – 9 = 84
4. We calculate the average totals in personal confrontations (10 meetings).
   
   New York Knicks.
   92 + 105 + 89 +102 +105 +108 + 90 + 95 (no overtime) + 81 + 95 = 962
   962/10 = 96.2
   (96.2 + 96.1)/2 = 96.15 Detroit Pistons
   112 + 102 + 102 + 89 + 111 + 96 + 112 + 95 (no overtime) + 97 + 98 = 1014
   1014/10 = 101.4
   (101.4 + 84)/2 = 92.7 So, the estimated team totals are 96 and 93, total 189 points.
5. The match total set by the bookmaker was 209 points.
   Thus, our calculated total differs from the total in the line by 20 points. This is, of course, a lot. It’s time to wonder if there is some kind of catch here... If we come to the conclusion that there is no, then we can safely bet on TM (209).
   As a result, the teams scored 204 points, our bet worked

But the forecast itself turned out to be far from reality.

Some features of the strategy.

• The strategy requires pre-match analysis (searching for statistical data) and calculations, which makes it a little more difficult to use
• As a result of the analysis, we have the estimated score, the individual team total and the overall match total. In my opinion, the latter is the most reliable indicator that you should focus on when choosing a bet.
• Critics of the strategy often complain that the analysis is not serious enough (the results that are extreme in totals are not discarded, there is no accounting for home and away games, the strength of the opponent, etc.)

Conclusions.

When talking about the passability of bets using this strategy, the figure of 70% is usually mentioned, which, of course, causes some mistrust. However, everyone can test this system themselves and draw their own conclusions. In my opinion, in the information age, serious mathematicians are developing software systems that can completely “calculate” a match with all its nuances. Therefore, such a strategy, based on very simplified calculations, is useful for bettors, but can hardly serve as the only basis for the game...

Strategy for Total Over or Under based on the results of the first half

This strategy is called differently on the Internet. main idea next. We select a match (preferably several), fix the initial totals. We watch the first half of the meeting (two quarters). We compare the initial total and the current one set by the bookmaker depending on the course of the game. If the difference is 10%, then such matches are suitable for us. If the total has dropped (teams score few goals), then we bet on TB. Otherwise, the total has increased, we bet on TM.

It so happened that I tested this strategy using the example of the already mentioned match between the Detroit Pistons and the New York Knicks. The total before the match was 209.

The teams started the meeting so brilliantly that they managed to score 70 points in the first quarter. The current total reached 227 points and after the first half it stopped at 225.

The difference was 16 points, I bet on TM (225). As can be seen from the following screenshot, the teams scored 204 points between them - the bet was successful.

Another practical example is the NBA match between Oklahoma City Thunder and Orlando Magic.

The total after the first half was down 22 points from the original. Following the strategy, we bet on TB (200.5).

The teams reached overtime, but the total was broken during regular time of the match (204)

What you should pay attention to when playing this system:

• Selecting matches. Recommendations on this matter vary – exclusion of youth games, cup finals, and unpredictable “exotic” championships. It is worth agreeing that in comparison with bets on even/odd (where, in principle, any match is suitable), it is better to focus on famous leagues(NBA, Euroleague, etc.)
• There are different views on how to assess the magnitude of the total bias when selecting matches for a bet. Above we mentioned 10% (or the first two digits, which is the same). This general case, and so, in principle, you can consider other options, starting from 5-7 points. Here the player can analyze the situation himself and make a decision.
• On the Internet you can find a description of a strategy called “total boom basketball strategy.” It also provides for catch-up in case of failure, which seems quite logical.

More strategies. Briefly

The possibilities of bettors are not limited to the presented strategies.

Another very interesting and attractive area is the “” and “” strategies for totals in basketball, which in some sense can be considered win-win.

Also popular is the strategy for total in a quarter, based on the belief that all four quarters of a team are not playing for TB or TM. It is similar to the even/odd system in the quarter, only in this case it “catch up” with the TB or TM in the quarter.

Basketball total forecast. The role of statistics

Most popular strategies are based on statistics. Various basketball statistics services provide all kinds of information about leagues, teams, and players. The priority, of course, is NBA statistics (for example, https://ru.global.nba.com/statistics/teamstats).

NBA fans are familiar with the impressive scoring records recorded in the world's most popular league.

The maximum number of points scored by both teams in regular time is 320 points (Golden State - Denver, 162:158, 11/02/1990). If we take into account overtime, then 370 points (Detroit - Denver, 186:184 (3 OT), 12/13/1983).

How to predict the total in basketball

Exist different approaches to solving the issue of predictions for the exact total in basketball. We have already discussed some above.

It is definitely worth taking into account the basis (the same as in other sports), but basketball has its own specifics:

1. Analysis physical fitness players (complex schedule, moving long distances, etc.).
2. Presence of injured players on both teams. This factor can seriously affect the total. The situation must be monitored almost before the start of the match.
3. When calculating the total of each team using statistical data, it is worth considering:
   • Home field factor (if a team plays at home, then home matches are taken into account).
   • Games whose results are not typical for one reason or another for the team being evaluated are discarded.
   • Overtime and playoff games are not taken into account if we're talking about about the regular season (performance drops in straight games).

Possession Ratio Approach

Another interesting approach to analyzing basketball totals will appeal to fans of match statistics. It is based on the ratio of the number of ball possessions of each team and the points scored. You can determine the effectiveness of a team's actions in attack and defense.

If there are 120 points per 100 ball possessions, the attack efficiency is 1.2 points per possession.

To calculate the probable total of a match, you need to correctly predict the number of ball possessions in the match and determine the effectiveness of the teams’ attack.

Basketball also has a well-known scheme for calculating totals for American football. We have already considered its use for European football; for basketball it looks similar, only there it is necessary to use the average total (in relation to a specific league). For example, in the NBA, according to the service https://www.sport12x.com/ru/mathematics/basketbol/ssha_nba, from 2012 to 2017, the average total was 200.45 points.

Review of programs for calculating totals in basketball: tables, calculators

Various mathematical tools for calculating totals in basketball are actively promoted online on a commercial basis. The question of their effectiveness requires separate research. Here I will just give examples mathematical tools, which are used by bettors.

Considering Shchukin's strategy for basketball, we performed calculations manually using simple formulas. The next level is automatic calculations based on Excel tables or programs.

A type of simple calculator program for calculations where you need to enter information into a table. Unlike the descriptions of calculating the total according to Shchukin on the Internet, here the sample of matches is limited to six games.

Another option is to calculate directly in an Excel spreadsheet. One of them is called “Analytical program for betting on basketball” and determines the outcome and total of the match.

Here the sample is 10 matches. In the screenshot below we see the results of the calculations.

It is typical for the listed funds that statistical data is entered manually.

Among the more serious programs that independently collect the necessary data, we can highlight the WinBasket program for betting on basketball matches. The program window is divided into several areas. On the left we select the match, after which we observe the team statistics and calculated indicators - scores, totals, odds. According to the authors of this program, it analyzes matches according to three schemes at once:

• Shchukin system
• Outcome/Match system
• NBA fly system

Algorithms, programs, models based on statistical analysis and probability theories are used by all participants in the betting market (bookmakers, players, cappers). On the relevant forums you can find discussions about Markov chains and the Kolmogorov–Champen equation. However, I am convinced that all this is only one means to achieve the goal, and the data produced by these programs cannot be taken as a 100% forecast of the upcoming event.

Summing up

Assessing the prospects for totals in basketball for betting, I can say the following. Basketball is not a priority sport for me. However, when I became more familiar with this area of ​​betting, I discovered quite a lot of interesting opportunities. It is basketball that seems to me a convenient “battlefield” with a bookmaker when using various strategies related to line changes, live bets, middles and sure bets.

Basketball betting is attractive due to its frequent events. Teams do not require as much rest as in football, so many matches take place every day.

Betting on basketball without a strategy is dangerous. Let's look at a popular betting strategy called quarter win (also called quarter betting).

Open a tournament, select a match that has just begun, and bet on the underdog to win in the first quarter (quotes in the range of 2.0-7.0).

Follow the progress of the game. If the team does not win, double the bet for the second quarter (use catch-up). The cycle continues until the underdog wins in the 3rd or 4th period.

Let's check the system in practice. Let's take the results of several meetings. Out of 20 fights, the strategy would have brought profit in 17, which is not bad (only 7 events fit in the screenshot).

Quotes for outsiders ranged from 2.0 to 4.5, but that is not what interests us. In three games, the favorite won or tied in all periods. In such matches, with the first bet of 100 rubles, we would have lost 1500 rubles (100+200+400+800). Let's figure out why this happened.

The second game on the list is a meeting between a clear favorite and an outsider. The odds for win 1 were 1.04, and for win 2 – 8.75. In the remaining matches that did not take place, the situation is identical. Therefore, ignore confrontations between teams whose levels are significantly different.

Matches that are not suitable for strategy

We realized that fights where there is a clear outsider are discarded (winning odds are more than 7.0). Let's consider other criteria, the fulfillment of which will increase the passability of bets on the strategy:

• Weak competitions are not suitable, for example, the Philippine or Malaysian championship. Place in major tournaments, where the level of the first and last command is minimal;
• exclude women's competitions - they are unpredictable, and in women's basketball there is a more significant difference in the class of opponents.

What to do when the underdog loses all quarters

If there is enough stock in the game bank, continue the series of bets in next game teams. Be careful and don’t rush to recoup when the team is up against the championship leader.

Accepting losing is the safe option. If you started with a bet of 1% of your bankroll, then in 4 trades you will lose 15%. Don't double your bet all the time. For example, when the odds are 3.0, after 100 rubles, bet not 200, but 150. In any case, you will earn, but less, but you will minimize the possible minus.

Advantages and disadvantages of the strategy

The advantages of the “win in the quarter” strategy include high chances of winning and a variety of events. The probability of losing in all quarters does not exceed 10%, that is, 1 match out of 10. Conduct analysis and discard events based on information, not just bookmaker odds.

Lack of strategy– progressive betting system (increasing the amount after a defeat). If a successful cycle brings 1-2% to the bank, then a loss will take away at least 10%. The bookmaker's commission is minimal, because the quotes do not include a draw. It’s like “red and black” - it seems to be 50/50, but you might end up with a zero.

The catch-up strategy has improved options: soft, double, which can generate profit, as well as an online calculator for calculating sports bets using the catch-up system.

The essence of the strategy

This gaming strategy was used in casinos, but has also taken root in betting on sporting events. It is not difficult to understand the essence of the “catch-up” betting system. In casinos, it is most widespread in betting on red/black, but in sports they bet on a wide variety of events.

To successfully apply this strategy, the player must have:

1. Solid bank.
2. Iron endurance.

A little later you will understand why this is needed. If at least 1 point is missing, then the “catch-up” betting system is not for you, and perhaps .

Strategy rules

How to bet using the “catch up” betting system?

• It is better to choose odds greater than 2.0 for bets.
• If you lose, each subsequent bet must be doubled.

Let's look at it with an example.

Initial data: Deposit - 10000r. First bet - 100r. Coefficient - 2

At the same time, the bank would only be enough for 7 bets. In case of a series of 7 failures, the balance would be 10000-6300=3700rub, which would not be enough for the 8th bet, since according to the rules of the strategy it should have been 6400 rubles.

Players who have been betting for several days often choose one of the teams and catch up with “draws”. Why bet on a draw? Yes, because the odds for draws often exceed 3.0, and sometimes 4.0, which, accordingly, gives excess profit.

We must not forget that the “catch-up” betting system is almost always a long journey that requires serious financial investments. Of course, you may get lucky and make a profit after the first or second bet, but often this does not happen.

Calculator for calculating the catch-up strategy

For convenience, you can use this online calculator to calculate catch-up. How to use it is described below.

« Desired final net profit“- here you enter the amount you want to win in the end.

« Already lost money" - the amount that you lost during the cycle (after 1 iteration it is calculated automatically).

« Coefficient"—the odds of the event on which you are going to bet.

Catch-up options

The use of catch-up is not limited to betting on a draw or on the victory of any team; below I will show examples of bets on best options according to the catch-up system.

Strategy goal scored in between catching up on football

For this system, it is better to choose one or more “scoring” teams.

Let's take the Euro 2016 match as an example: Italy – Ireland.

As you can see from the screenshot, if you guess the time period in which the goal was scored, you can make a profit of 3 or even 4 times the amount.

Let's take a closer look at what if we used catch-up in practice:

Let's assume that the initial pot is 10,000 rubles.

1. bet on a goal from 1-15 minutes 100 rubles, odds 4.3. The bet loses.
2. Bet on a goal from 16-30 min 200 rubles with odds 3.38. The score is still 0:0.
3. bet on goal from 31-45 min 400 rubles coefficient 3.14. Lost again.
4. bet on goal from 46-60 min 800 rubles coefficient 3.05. Failure.
5. bet on goal from 61-75 min 1600 rubles coefficient 3.0. Defeat again. Current balance: 10000-(100-200-400-800-1600) = 6900r
6. bet we continue to stick to the strategy and double the bet. Please note that the coefficient has become significantly smaller, but it will be enough for us to win back losses and remain in a significant plus. We put 3200 rubles at a coefficient of 2.45.

Luck smiles on us, and the Irish players score a goal in the 85th minute of the game.

The net winnings were 3200 * 2.45 = 7840 rubles. 7840 – 3200 (our rate) = 4640 + 6900 = 11540 rubles. Net profit amounted to 1540 rubles.

As you may have noticed, the match took place between the “grassroots” teams and our bet played in the final 15 minutes.

It is better to avoid teams that play defensively. Otherwise, you will have to “catch up” with them in the second, and possibly in the third match. Perfect the right decision, will focus on teams that love and know how to attack and score a large number of goals, such as Barcelona or Real Madrid.

Football strategy, even-odd with catch-up

The bookmaker offers to bet that the match will end in total even number goals (for example, 1:1, 2:2 or 3:1), or odd (1:2, 0:1, 4:1). Usually bookmakers set equal odds for even-odd odds, which vary between 1.9-2.0.

If you take advantage of catch-up, your chances of success will rapidly increase. You just need to find football club, which would have a series, for example, of several “odds” and bet on “evens,” doubling the bet if you lose.

At first glance, playing with this strategy is not particularly difficult, but who knows how long the “odd” series of one of the teams could drag on. Purely theoretically, someday your bet will win, unless you run out of money or the bookmaker “cuts” the limit.

But sometimes unpleasant incidents happen. Personally, I saw with my own eyes how one team played a series of seventeen (!!!) “even” matches in a row. Therefore, before you start betting, carefully analyze everything and weigh the pros and cons.

Double catch-up strategy (double catch-up)

“Double catch-up” or, as it is also called “double-dogon” or “dogon on totals”, differs from the usual one in that it involves betting alternating the outcome of an event with the diametrically opposite one. Let's look at everything point by point.

1. Suppose you notice that one of the teams played a series of several matches with “total over” (TB, TB, TB, TB, TB). This means your bet is “total under”.
2. You are lucky and the very first bet brings you a profit (TB, TB, TB, TB, TB, TM). If the bet were to lose, you would have to double your bet until the result you want plays out.
3. Now you should use the second part of the strategy, betting on “total over” (TB, TB, TB, TB, TB, TM, TB) and also double the bet amount until you win.

What's the catch, you ask? Everything is extremely simple. The author of the double catch-up strategy noted that the series TB, TM, TB, TM are quite rare, but the series TM, TM, TM, TB, TB, TB occur with enviable consistency.

It should be noted that to successfully use this strategy, the player needs an iron will and the ability to not be afraid to bet big money. After all, no matter how funny it sounds, most clients of bookmakers simply do not know how to wait for their chance. In addition, not everyone has a solid bank that would be enough for 12-15 bets, since, unlike the usual “catch-up”, using a double one significantly increases the risk of running into an unfavorable series.

Soft catch-up

“Soft catch-up” is considered a more reliable strategy than the classic one. The beauty of it is that you can “catch up” with the desired event with odds less than 2. However, the monetary amount of the bet will have to be significantly increased.

The “soft catch-up” is calculated using the following formula:

Example: you decide to place a bet with odds of 1.65. Before this, you have already made several unsuccessful bets and total amount the loss was 450 rubles, while you plan to win 600 rubles. Now let's calculate the bet amount using the formula:

S = (600+450) / (1.65-1) = 1610 rubles.

(Use my calculator above to automatically calculate your bet amount)

If you bet this amount and the bet wins, your net winnings will be 600 rubles. And if you are unlucky again, you can easily calculate the amount of the next bet.

Using the strategy " soft catch-up", you can play with almost any odds, which significantly increases your chances of winning.

In this article I described the option of using it based on flat, thereby moving away from main problem soft catch-up: rapidly increasing bet amounts.

Strategy for catching up by quarters in basketball

According to statistics, one of the four quarters of the fight between the favorite and the underdog ends in the victory of the latter. That is why, by increasing the bet amount, you can easily catch the desired outcome. If the favorite wins in all four segments of the match, then it is necessary to continue to “catch up” with him in the next match until the bitter end.

Usually the odds for outsiders are quite high. They often exceed 2.0. If the odds are smaller, then you need to calculate the bet amount using the formula from the previous paragraph.

Remember that a series of failures can completely deprive you of your money, so sober calculation and careful analysis will be your main allies.

Catch-up strategy in tennis

Everyone knows that a tennis match consists of sets, which consist of games. The judges value each winning draw at fifteen points. To successfully win a set, you need to score 15, then 30 and 40 points; after the next win, points are not added, and the tennis player (tennis player) is awarded the win in the set.

Bets using this strategy must be made live. As a bet, we will take the score during the match 15:15.

Why do we take this account as a basis? Yes, because, according to statistics, it is most often found in tennis. Typically, the odds for this event vary around 2.0.

If you follow this sport and have maximum information about the players who take to the court, you can easily predict the result you need. This strategy is especially suitable for fights in which athletes of equal strength meet.

As observations show, in women's tennis the score 15:15 is much more common than in men's tennis.

Catch-up strategy in hockey

We will consider the catch-up strategy “for a draw in the period.”

As you know, a hockey match consists of three periods, each of which can end in a draw. For such an outcome, bookmakers usually give very high odds, with which you can cover not only losses during the cycle, but also make a good profit.

For such a bet it is necessary to choose teams that are not highly productive. Even if none of the periods ends in a draw, you should continue to catch up with the team in the next match.

Bottom line. Is it possible to win using the “catch up” betting system?

It seems that nothing is easier than playing this strategy. You just need to double the pot and wait for the bet to win. However, this is not the case.

As can be seen from the examples at the beginning of the article, starting from 100 rubles, our fifth bet was 1600 rubles. 7 the rate would be 6400 rubles. Moreover, the total turnover would already be 12,700 rubles, so a bank of 10,000 rubles would clearly not be enough, even if the amount of your first bet is only 100 rubles.

A significant disadvantage of this strategy is that it is necessary to increase the bet amount all the time. This way you can quickly reach the limit maximum bet and the bookmaker simply will not allow you to complete the cycle by cutting the limits.

Basketball is one of the most popular sports among betting fans for a number of reasons - it is a dynamic game with frequent scoring attacks, unique in its kind among game types sports. In this article we will analyze one of the popular strategies for betting on basketball.

A basketball game is divided into quarters, making it one of the most convenient types sports for live betting, especially for playing with a catch-up strategy. In football and even hockey, where there are three periods, it is quite difficult to find a “distance” for a catch-up strategy in one match, but basketball, with a match divided into four parts, is almost ideal for this.

Any team can win one quarter in basketball

The essence of the “match by quarter” basketball betting strategy is that almost any team can win at least one quarter in a basketball match, and it is extremely rare that the match goes “in one basket” and all four quarters have one winner.

Let's test our thesis and simply take 10 random matches, for example, the Spanish Championship from April 12 to 25.

As we can see in the picture, there were no such matches where one team won in all quarters in our random sample, although there were two cases (Manresa - Cajasol and Baskonia - Zaragoza) when only one team, while the other was only able to achieve local draws in one or two game periods.

And this despite the fact that there were outright defeats here - in the match with Baskonia, Zaragoza, having lost 28 points in the end, was able not to lose the first quarter, and Bilbao, having lost to Canarias by 18 points, won the third quarter and looked decent in the first one. What are we leading to? Any team can win at least one quarter in basketball, if we are talking about serious tournaments where there is not a huge difference in class, and our observations suggest that it is very, very difficult for one team to win all periods of a basketball game.

It’s better to “catch up” with a victory in the outsider’s quarter

Based on these observations, we can play catch-up on quarters. It is, of course, more logical to bet on an outsider, since the odds for him are higher and will almost always be more than 2.0. If in the first quarter (which the favorite very often fails, giving a head start to the outsider) the bet does not go through, we double the amount and bet on the outsider winning in the second quarter, and so on according to the catch-up strategy.

The point of this basketball betting strategy is that even if that rare situation happens when one team wins all quarters, the amount of loss after four bets will be relatively small, but as experience shows, you still need to be able to run into such a game. In most cases, the basketball match we have chosen for the game will generate income at one of the stages of catching up and in this case it is better to move to another, starting from its first quarter.

In order to avoid failure and falling into rare cases of one-wicket matches, you need to carefully select matches for betting, and also do not hesitate to secure some of them in the form of an X2 bet on a quarter - as we see, draws are not rare here and should be kept in mind, especially in matches with a clear outsider.

This strategy of betting on basketball, of course, is not a win-win, but with due skill and caution it can be successful if you bet wisely, choose the right matches and have a good understanding of basketball, and be able to correlate the strengths of teams.

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Basketball, along with hockey, belongs to the category of the most unpredictable sports games. This is probably why it attracts viewers around the world. But just watching the game and enjoying it is one thing. To guess the outcome of a match, you need a certain system. In this article we will look at the most popular and effective strategies basketball betting. So let's get started.

Strategy for total in basketball

Is the most popular. In the match schedule of any office there are at least three different totals. That is, players can bet “under” and “over” on several different outcomes. For example, that both teams will score from 170 to 190 points in the match. In addition, totals are accepted for quarter fouls, free throws, three-pointers, etc. The largest bookmakers even have a “totals market” for basketball players. That is, you can bet on three-pointers, fouls and free throws for each member of both teams.

Total calculation

To calculate, you need to analyze the five previous games of the teams in question. Statistics of personal meetings are no less important.

1. First, we calculate the amount of points that each team received over the last 5 games. Divide the result by five. As a result, we will get the arithmetic mean.

2. Now that we have this indicator, we can calculate further. We add three points to the home team's total points, as well as one point for each game won in the last five. For a loss, one and a half points are deducted. We do the same with the visiting team. The only thing is you don't need to add three points at the beginning.

3. The next step is to analyze personal meetings. Again, you need to calculate the arithmetic average for each team. Then they are added to the results obtained in point No. 1 and divided by two. The resulting number will be the most probable total of the match. By comparing it with the bookmakers' line, we can draw certain conclusions. If the amount you receive is less than the total in the office line, then you need to choose the less total. And vice versa.

Basketball is not limited to just the total. There are other strategies. Go ahead.

Oscar Grind Strategy

This is practically the only strategy that has a specific goal, namely, increasing the bankroll by one unit. This unit is the rate itself. It's simple. You don't even need any basketball betting software.

For example, your bank is 100 rubles. You bet 10 rubles. The goal is to increase assets by these 10 rubles. That is, you need to increase the bank to 110 rubles. If the bet does not pass, then its size increases to 20 rubles. If passed, the goal is achieved. This strategy is also suitable for playing betting basketball. But for its successful use it is necessary common sense. Place your bets with minimal risk and maximum odds.

Quarter betting (basketball)

This can be either the indicators of individual teams or the total value. Players are offered to bet on which quarter the given indicator will be higher or which value will be the highest in the entire match. In fact, the outcome of the quarter is very difficult to predict. Therefore, this strategy is largely based on intuition and a superficial analysis of the teams’ previous games.

Corridor

All existing basketball betting strategies cannot compare with the corridor in terms of profitability. This is the most profitable tactic. A corridor is the difference between opposing bets on a specific event. For example, two teams are playing and there are the following bets on them:

• F2 (0).
• F1 (-5.5).
• TM 166.
• TB 160.

As you can see, there is a difference of exactly six points between TM and TB. This is the corridor. If both teams can earn between 161 and 165 points together, then both bets will go through. If the number of points scored is less than 161, only TM will pass. If more, then TB.

The same principle applies to odds. Here the corridor is a difference of 7 points. Both bets will go through if the first team beats the second by 6 points (or more).

There are handicap corridors in different offices, since each of them has its own opinion regarding the teams’ play. But only one bookmaker has corridors for totals.

Time match

As mentioned above, no more profitable strategy betting on basketball than the corridor. But if you master such tactics as a time match well, then the winnings can even exceed the income from playing along the “corridors”. The essence of a time match is that the player bets on the outcome of the entire event or its first half. For example, team 1 and team 2 are playing football. You think that the first team will win the first half, but in the end the second team will win. This is what you bet on. Moreover, you can choose outcomes for two teams at once.

No basketball betting strategy gives such high odds, like a time match. Despite the obvious outsider or favorite, the odds rarely fall below two. Therefore, you can make decent money even by betting on the same winning team in both halves of the match.

LIVE betting

IN Lately Bookmaker bets on basketball in LIVE mode are significantly gaining momentum. There are several strategies for this case, but we will tell you about the most popular one. These are bets during the break of a match, when bookmakers are preparing a new line for the 2nd half of the game. And they have very little time for this.

How can you place such bets? It's simple. You don't even need any basketball betting software. They can be done directly from the bookmaker’s website by selecting the appropriate menu item. So, what is the essence of the strategy itself?

The line in this type of bet is available to the player only for a few minutes, before the odds change. As a result, he has very little time for analysis. But the bookmaker is in a similar position. Analysts need to quickly make adjustments based on the results of the first half of the game. And here they can make a mistake by giving an inflated odds for an event.

Consider team motivation

IN LIVE bets this is one of the most important factors. When the game opens, the bet line reflects exclusively the pre-match odds. The line at halftime may differ significantly from it. And here it is important to understand the motivation of teams. How focused is the favorite on the game? Can he come out relaxed in the 2nd half of the game and give the underdog an opportunity to catch up?

It often happens that, having received leadership, a team loses motivation, despite the support of the coach and fans. This could be a good opportunity for you. On the other hand, a team may perform poorly in the first half and use the second to win back. To successfully bet LIVE on the second half of the event, you need to be not only a capper, but also partly a psychologist, correctly assessing the habits of the team and its character.

Select multiple matches to bet on

In the evening at EuroBasket or at night in the NBA, several events of interest to you may take place at once. All of them need to be kept in mind. After all, it may be necessary to switch from one event to another in the absence of suitable bets. Therefore, ideally, you should watch several games at once and have information on them by analyzing the pre-match layouts.

Finding the reason

Break is good opportunity carefully consider what you saw and find out why in the first half everything happened exactly the way it did and not otherwise. Did the favorite underestimate the opponent or was he just having a bad day, what was the foul situation with key players, were there any injuries that significantly affected the game, etc. If the pre-match situation does not correspond to what happened in the first half of the game, then you need to find the reason for this. Otherwise, you may not even hope for success in LIVE betting.