Bets on totals greater than 0.5 before the match are pointless due to odds of 1.05-1.25. The strategy is to look for matches where there are no goals, but there is a high probability of goals being scored. With zeros on the scoreboard after the first half, the quotes increase to 1.25-1.45.
Most often, goals are scored at the beginning of the second half and at the end of the game, so wait until the 70th minute to bet on odds of 1.7-1.9.
Matchmaking for strategy
Efficiency– teams must score. Choose meetings of those clubs that differ in goals in each match and play for a total of less than 0.5 in a maximum of 1 match out of 10.
Open game– teams that profess attacking football, rather than a defensive style of play, are suitable.
Soccer players– the absence of attacking leaders reduces the team’s attacking power. Study lineups and uniforms to understand the status of teams and key players.
Integrity– opponents are obliged to fight for victory, because if someone is satisfied with a draw, the chances are high that it will be 0:0.
Availability of broadcast– draw conclusions after watching the first 45 minutes. Sometimes the approach of a goal is felt intuitively. See how your opponents attack and how often they shoot on target. Evaluate the actions of goalkeepers.
- Before using the strategy, read the article
After analyzing the Internet, I saw a lot of unnecessary slag. Everyone ensures that the strategies work and generate good profits. If this were really the case, then no one would show it publicly. Maximum sale and in minimum quantities at exorbitant prices.
Taking a short detour, let's get started with our strategy. There are several good theories, but we will choose only one. This football betting strategy TB 0.5 used in the following cases:
- The status of the match should not be important for both teams
- We don’t take matches of young guys, the odds are low
- The office must give at least 1.5 for our event (it could be Leon, 1xstavka)
The essence of the strategy
Observing all the above rules, we get to work. Having waited until the first half of the football match has passed, we look at the odds for the total greater than 0.5. It should be around 1.5, if so, then we concentrate on the match and turn on our intuition. We look at the team’s statistics using the Myscore service, or in the office itself, if it provides one. Lots of blows, dangerous attacks? Are there any prerequisites for a red card? Pressure from one team on another. We analyze the situation, what is happening on the field. Around 50-60 minutes of the second half, the coefficient should be at least 1.5. If we are satisfied with everything, then we charge the money. We wait for the bet to pass; if we lose, we use the catch-up strategy.
Experience gained from the strategy
I used the strategy several times, the amounts were small. Mainly used in pre-season friendly matches of foreign clubs. The cross-country ability was good; in the near future I will test it more seriously. I liked both the coefficient and the profit. Once I managed to lose 5,000 rubles. I used a catch-up strategy, starting from 800 rubles. This looks irrational, but then it was the only way to act. If I started with 100 rubles, I would be in the black since the next match was over. Let's note the advantages of the strategy:
- Good odds
- Many events of this kind
- Works only on a catch-up system, which can lead to the loss of the entire bank
- Long wait for bet calculation, teams can score in 30-40 minutes
That's all. The strategy is laid out in introductory form, you can try to play with it. We cannot guarantee winnings. Rely on your analysis and knowledge gained through experience. Thank you for your attention.
The majority of players avoid the Bolivian Football Championship, considering the tournament a true “black forest”. In fact, it is not so difficult to understand the vicissitudes of this exotic tournament; it is only important to know what and from whom you can expect. This material will help in general outline understand the features of the championship and give an idea of the key confrontations and principal rivals.
General information about the championship
The tournament started in 1914, but at that time the championship was played among teams from one city - La Paz. Over time, the tournament evolved and united more and more clubs, thus, by 1958, the first unified Bolivian championship was formed. It is believed that full-fledged championships began to be held only in 1977, but clubs have been counting the number of their titles since 1958.
Currently, the tournament is held according to the standard South American system in two stages - Apertura and Clausura. The full name of the championship is Liga de Fútbol Profesional Boliviano.
Brief historical statistics:
- First champion - "Jorge Wilstermann" (1958)
- The first champion in a full-fledged championship - "Strongest" (1977)
- The most titled club - "Bolivar"(25 trophies)
Number of trophies for other clubs:
- "Strongest" - 14
- "Jorge Wilstermann" -11
- Oriente Petrolero - 5
- "Blooming" - 5
Fundamental confrontations
Derby in South America are somewhat different from standard European ones, where in most cases passions run high and rivals try to win at any cost. In most national championships of the Continent, the largest number of teams represent the capital or big cities. Bolivia in this case is no exception; the championship is represented by seven cities. List of participants by city:
- La Paz (pop. 887,000)
- "Bolivar"
- "Strongest"
The two most titled teams in Bolivia represent, oddly enough, the same city. This confrontation is considered one of the most important in the country; the intensity of passions in these matches would be the envy of many European derbies.
- Santa Cruz de la Sierra (pop. 1,600,000)
- "Blooming"
- "Oriente Petrolero"
- "Sport Boys Warns"
- "Destroyers"
- "Royal Paris"
The main derby of the city is considered to be the confrontation between Blooming and Oriente Petrolero. Between them the clubs have 10 Bolivian championship titles, this confrontation can be ranked second after the La Paz derby.
- Cachabamba (pop. 896,000)
- "Jorge Wilstermann"
- "Aurora"
The Kachabmaba Derby cannot be called overly important - over the past six years, Aurora has only been able to defeat its more status and titled rival once.
- Potosi (pop. 160,000)
- Real Potosí
- "Nacional Potosi"
The Potosi Derby can be called relatively young - Nacional made its debut in the elite only in 2009. Real Potosí is the main team in the city - the Imperial Lion has a history of a championship title as well as international achievements. The main attraction of this derby is Real Madrid's Victor Agustin Ugarte stadium, which is located at an altitude of 4000 meters above sea level, making it the highest stadium in the World.
- Oruro (pop. 210,000)
- "San Jose Oruro"
- Sucre (pop. 295,000)
- "Universitario Sucre"
The city is represented in the elite of Bolivian football by one club, but the traditional rival of Universitario Sucre is Real Potosi, as it happened historically. The confrontations between these teams very often become a real highlight of the tournament, for example the matches of 2018:
03/12/18 Universitario Sucre - Real Potosi: 3:1
02/01/18 Real Potosi - Universitario Sucre: 4:4
- Montero (pop. 87,000)
- "Guabira"
The strength of Bolivian football in 2018
The specifics of the tournament are as follows - practically the three strongest clubs in the country are always in the lead - Bolivar, Strongest and Jorge Wilstermann.
After 9 rounds played in Group A, the leader is “Jorge Wilstermann”. In Group B - “Strongest”. “Bolivar” lost several points in the tournament and is still behind the leaders, but we can say with full confidence that “Decan” will still catch up. “Blooming” is pushing “Strongest” from below, which is also not surprising - “Millionaires” traditionally lay claim to the most high places. List of champions of the last 5 years:
- Clausura and Apertura - "Strongest"
- Clausura - "Bolivar", Apertura - "Strongest"
- Clausura - "Universitario Sucre", Apertura - "Bolivar"
- Clausura - "Bolivar", Apertura - "Sport Boys"
- Clausura - "Jorge Wilstermann", Apertura - "Strongest"
- Clausura and Apertura - "Bolivar"
As can be seen from the list, the giants rarely give any of their rivals the opportunity to soar onto the podium. However, when this happens, bookmakers do not believe in the success of the outsider until the last minute and set very tasty odds, but in this moment no such trend is expected.
Dark horses
Almost any team can be added to the list of clubs that can surprise you before the start of the tournament, such is the Bolivian championship. In 2018, there are several clubs that will surprise you in a good way:
- "Destroyers"
The debutant of the current Apertura managed to climb all the way to fourth position, scoring 10 points in nine matches. Before the ninth round, Jose Pena's team had a streak of five matches without defeat, but it was interrupted by a home defeat to Jorge Wilstermann. In this championship, Los Canarios produced several amazing matches:
- 03.18 Oriente Petrolero - Destroyers: 4:4
- 02.18 “Destroyers” - “Bolivar”: 2:2
- 02.18 Destroyers - Oriente Petrolero: 3:1
Taking away points in this way from Bolivar and the strong Oriente Petrolero is something every club in the league can do, and given the fact that the Detroiters are new to the tournament, this achievement can be considered a complete success. It is noteworthy that the bookmakers gave odds of 4.75 for the victory of Los Canarios against Oriente Petrolero.
- "San Jose Oruro"
“Saints”, of course, cannot be called a club from which no one expects victories, but its latest success the team achieved more than 10 years ago. Currently, San Jose Oruro, led by Eduardo Villegas, occupies third position in Group B and is only three points behind Strongest. The Saints have already taken points from Strongest twice this season, which not every team can achieve.
Weak spots
In almost every South American championship there is such a tendency - before and during the start of the Libertadores Cup or the South American Cup, the giants very often “leave” matches of the national championships. Bolivia is no exception, even more so - on the eve of international matches, mentors can even send young people to a championship match. Such rotation is of course reflected in the odds, but nevertheless, the bookmaker does not give odds below 3.00 for the opponent of “Bolivar” or “Strongest”. Bright to that example:
- 03.18 Jorge Wilstermann - Bolivar: 4:2
On March 15, Bolivar has a game in the Libertadores Cup with Colo Colo, so Vincius Eutropio is fielding youth for the match on March 11. Of course, the bookmakers managed to react in last moment for such a coaching “feint”, but 6-8 days before the match the same “sweet” C grade was offered.
List of participants in continental club tournaments from Bolivia for the player to note:
- Bolivar (Cup Libertadores)
- "Strongest" (Cup Libertadores)
- "Guabira" (South American Cup)
- Blooming (South American Cup)
- Nacional Potosi (South American Cup)
Ideal option for betting on “total over”
The Bolivian Championship is one of the most productive tournaments in South America. Results like 0-0 or 1:0 are practically never found here. This applies not only to matches where the leaders take part; even an avid outsider scores 4-5 goals per match against their opponents several times a season. The bookmaker gives odds for the outcome of TB (2.5) on average - 1.65, but the option with TB (3) will already bring a solid increase of 1.95 per match. Confirmation in numbers (average number of goals per match in 2018):
- 1st round - 4.16 goals per match
- 2nd round - 4 goals per match
- 3rd round - 3 goals per match
- 4th round - 2.1 goals per match
- Round 5 - 3.71 goals per match
- Round 6 - 3 goals per match
- Round 7 - 2.2 goals per match
- 8th round - 4 goals per match
- 9th round - 2.42 goals per match
Using simple calculations, you can calculate the average total of one game in the Bolivian championship - 3.16 goals. With an average odds on TB (3) of 1.95, you might be surprised at the final profit.
Top scoring teams:
- Jorge Wilstermann - 2.22 goals per match
- Bolivar - 2.11 goals per match
- Real Potosi - 2.11 goals per match
- Oriente Petrolero - 2.00 goals per match
Most missed commands:
- Real Potosi - 3.22 goals per match
- Destroyers - 2.22 goals per game
- Oriente Petrolero - 1.78 goals per match
- Guabira - 1.78 goals per match
conclusions
The Bolivian championship is ideal for players who prefer to bet on the “top” of the total. In Apertura, scores of 4:4 or 6:3 are not uncommon; such results can be seen in almost every round. It is not surprising that performance records in international club tournaments were recorded in those matches where teams from Bolivia participated. You must select based on the tables above. Particular attention can be concentrated on matches of principal rivals, or in the derbies described in this material. Also, do not forget about the matches preceding international tournaments - in them, very often, the giants field not just reserves, but youth squads.
Today we’ll look at a fairly popular system of betting on goals in the first half. As you understand, we will be talking about football matches. Let’s start, as usual, with the essence of the strategy, consider an example for understanding, and study the algorithms for betting in LIVE mode. Yes, it is in Live that you will very often have to use a strategy. Well, at the end, as usual, there will be a conclusion.
The essence of the strategy Goal in the first half
As I already guessed, we need to predict. Which team will be able to score a goal in the first half? football match. This bet has its own name - First half total over 0.5 or TB 0.5 if abbreviated. Naturally, there is nothing complicated here at first glance. But where is the salt?
How to select the right team to bet on
There are several approaches to selecting teams that will need to be covered so that you have a full range of options. Especially for general development it will come in handy.
Selecting a command using a formula
We select a football event, for example K1 - K2. To determine who to bet on, you need to look at the statistics of the last 5 matches and how many goals they scored in the first half. For calculation we use the coefficients: A goal scored at home is 1 goal, a goal scored away is 2 goals, a goal missed at home is 2 goals, a goal missed away is 1 goal. Using these parameters, we calculate statistics for 5 games.
- For example, for K1 - scored 1 goal at home = 1 goal, scored 2 goals away = 4 goals, conceded 1 goal at home = 2 goals, conceded 3 goals away = 3 goals.
- Let’s say for K2 - scored 1 goal at home = 1 goal, scored 0 goals away = 0 goals, conceded 4 goals at home = 8 goals, conceded 4 goals away = 4 goals.
Now, using a simple formula, we will calculate the odds that will allow us to find out who has a better chance of scoring a goal in the 1st half.
(Goals scored at home / Goals conceded away) + (Goals scored away / Goals conceded)
Coefficient for K1 = (1/4)+(4/8)=0.25+0.5= 0.75
Coefficient for K2 = (1/3) + (0/2) = 0.33
The lower the odds, the higher the likelihood that the team will score a goal in the 1st half. Result of the match: Team K2 scored 2 goals in the first half.
For this strategy to work properly, the coefficient must be more than 0.6 , but if the coefficient turns out to be 1, then it is better not to bet on this match at all.
Selection by last dry draw
This type of selection is quite simple, for this you will need statistics for the last 5 seasons, goals scored in 1.2 halves and generally goals scored in a match in different leagues, we will put them in a single table and use them to determine the % of entry. I will provide data on three of them. I think you can do the rest of the work yourself.
- Germany Bundesliga: Goals scored in the 1st half: 67,4% 26,5% Goals scored in matches 93,9%
- Germany 3rd League: Goals scored in the 1st half: 57,9% Goals scored in the 2nd half: 32,4% Goals scored in matches 93,9%
- Egypt Premier League: Goals scored in the 1st half: 52,4% Goals scored in the 2nd half: 36,4% Goals scored in matches 88,8%
- We are looking for an event in which the last outcome was 0-0 (dry or eggs)
- We determine the country and league in which the teams play. We analyze using the table whether it is suitable.
- If the event is suitable, then we bet the usual TB0.5 in the first half; if they scored a goal in the first half, we bet that they will score in the second half, in order to get back the money spent and also win.
- Goal in the second half! Bingo.
I advise Austrian Bundesliga, English Premier League, English Premier League (Junior 21), German Bundesliga, Hungarian Top League, Belgian Top League, Scandinavian League countries (Norway, Sweden, Finland), Dutch Major League, Czech Premier League.
I do not advise: Argentina, Egypt, all cup matches, friendlies, especially international ones, because the result is too unpredictable.
Selection by home favorite
There is an option to select matches and teams for betting on goals in the first half by searching for the scoring favorite who is playing at home. To be specific, you need scoring team favorite with odds no more than 1.7 and for this team to play Houses, only if these conditions are met can one hope for a positive outcome of the bets.
To win, you need to place a bet at the end of the first half of the first half. The odds usually rise to 2. If the favorite team attacks a lot and often creates scoring chances, then you should bet. However, if the game is inactive and there are few scoring chances, then you need to make the opposite bet in order to win back the bet or even be slightly in the black, i.e. We create a type of fork to insure the bet.
Insuring your bet on Goal in the first half
As described above, in the middle of the first half, if the score is not open and there are no prerequisites, then you can use Live to make an opposite bet in order to insure the original one. Or you can bet on a goal in the second half.
bet365 betting scheme for goals in the first and second halves
There is a certain scheme tailored for the bet365 bookmaker (but is also suitable for other bookmakers). I reviewed it separately in the blog: Bet365 betting scheme for goals in the first and second half.
Conclusion
The strategy is quite interesting and attractive, but as old as the World. In general, if you have statistics and have a good understanding of teams, it can give a good profit. I think this is a worthy strategy, especially in conjunction with financial strategies
A betting system that allows you to get a significant amount of profit without putting your bankroll at risk. As is clear from the title, we will bet that there will be more than 0.5 goals in the match. This means we bet that at least one goal will be scored by any team. Only the result 0-0 will break our chain of victories. If you choose your matches carefully, you can easily achieve a chain of 30-60 wins.
This is what we strive for.
The system is progressive. This means that for each next match we bet everything we won in the previous one. Let's repeat this until we feel like it's time to stop.
The system is good for use on Betfair and in-play markets (in play)- that is, during the game.
To use it, you do not need trading skills or any additional knowledge on the Batfair exchange. The ability to make a simple single bet will be enough. The reason why Batfair is suitable is high coefficient(higher than bookmakers) and greater liquidity on almost all matches.
First
First, decide on the bet size. You don't need huge sums. 2 or 10 dollars will be enough.
Second
Find a game in which you think at least one goal will be scored. If you are not an expert in football, you can use the forecasts of others.
Third
Select the market “total over 0.5 goals”
In the picture above, our case is highlighted in yellow - "one goal or more in a match"
Don't place your bet before the game! Wait for the match to start. This system works during the match. We will place a bet as soon as the odds increase slightly.
Several options for entering the game:
- if you are aiming for a quick goal, then place your bet immediately after the start of the game.
Advice: the betting odds must be no lower than 1.11
! Don't bet at odds lower than this. If the early goal was scored before the odds became acceptable, it's a shame. Switch to the next match. Don't forget that Batfair takes a commission 5%
from your profit, so wait for the odds at least 1.11
.
- you can wait 30 minutes, since most goals are scored after this time mark. By this time the coefficient will increase sufficiently.
-you may not bet in the first half and place a bet in the second. The coefficient will be higher 1.2
which will increase your winnings.
It's up to you to decide what is most convenient for you!
Let's see how much we can win using this system with a bet size of $10.
If you bet with an average odds of 1.10, then 30 consecutive wins will give you
$10 x 17 = $170!
If you bet with an average odds of 1.20, then 30 consecutive wins will give you
$10 x 237 = $2,370!
As you can see, the system is worthy of attention!
Choose matches that clearly suggest goals scored. Play on Betfair or earn even more by betting and managing the accounts of other people who have invested in you on BetPamm
