Have you decided to make money betting on football? Spontaneous decisions do not bring success at a distance. To reduce the risk of loss, analyze football matches before betting on them. What moments matter most?
Let's look at the principle of analyzing football matches using a recent example: last game Newcastle United - Manchester City. In this case, we have a classic confrontation between the clear favorite of the tournament and an unmotivated outsider.
Why unmotivated? Newcastle is not in the relegation zone, but it certainly won’t be able to claim a leading position. Manchester is not interested in this match in principle, but more on that below.
Team rating
Needless to say, based on the numbers, Newcastle cannot be perceived as a rival for Manchester at all.
When analyzing any upcoming match, consider the ratings of both teams. Evaluate how objectively the bookmaker gave the odds, and whether he cheated somewhere by inflating or understating them for his own benefit.
Don't forget, not always high rating means an unconditional victory, but for analysis it is very convenient to use this criterion as a starting “point”. However, if your focus is not on championship games, but, say, on cup games, you need a different approach, since the goals and motivations are completely different.
Individual players
6 Manchester players are among the top scorers in the Premier League this season, Newcastle does not have such a star-studded line-up.
Take an interest in the strong and weaknesses commands Here, information about injured players or emotional depression of the team is primarily important. The latter often happens when there is a change of coach, some kind of conflict between players, or non-payment of fees to athletes.
Find out about the form and confidence of key players, they may have given pre-match interviews. Get information from magazines, television and the Internet.
To get the most exact information about the composition of the teams, wait for an official application from the coaches. Also listen to this information on the broadcast immediately before the match.
Game schedule
Based on the density of Manchester's schedule, it immediately becomes clear that they will not waste their energy fighting Newcastle. What's the point of using every opportunity when more difficult matches are on the horizon? But it is also logical that Manchester does not need a defeat from a team of this level, therefore, in such cases, a draw or a maximum of one goal is usually predicted, but this all depends on the tasks of each team.
An important element of the analysis is the schedule of upcoming matches. A team that has just played or will play in such major competition, like the Champions League, can send leading players on vacation. If Liverpool entered the field without Salah, Mane and Firmino, and you didn’t know about it and bet on victory, there is a high risk that the match will not end in your favor.
You also need to know what it is: a derby, a match against a direct competitor or a historical opponent. Depending on this, the team may not play at full strength to save them for next week's meeting.
The story is also important, it sets the “tone” before the match even begins. For example, a team that has never lost to another or last time lost 20 years ago, will behave more confidently and strive for victory.
Previous matches
Newcastle is already losing its 5th match at home, MC, on the contrary, shows excellent statistics in the Premier League and only lost in the Champions League, and this, as you know, is a completely different cuisine.
A team that has won 5 wins in a row is much more motivated and “prone” to winning. Refer to statistics and review past meetings. Analyze the performance of the selected team in past games.
It is important to look at the conditions in which previous matches were played; if these are mostly friendly matches, it is too early to draw a positive conclusion about success in the upcoming match.
Individual statistics
Newcastle in Lately can only show performance based on missed goals. You certainly can’t count on goals from them. Manchester City is also the leader in this parameter.
First of all, you should look at the winning statistics for both teams. If one has good statistics at home, and the other “feels” poorly away, it is obvious that it is worth betting on the home team, even if it is slightly lower in rating. This parameter often justifies confidence and is used by experienced players as a “base” for analysis.
The second point: the number of goals scored and the number of goals conceded during the season. This gives an idea of the teams ability to attack and ability to defend.
Another nuance: when teams play at the very end of the season. In this case, you need to analyze the problems and tasks of each team. For example, one will be able to qualify for the “podium” if she achieves good results in last days, and the other needs to hold out as much as possible to stay in the league.
These are just a few things to consider when betting on football. Today we looked at the analysis of the event using the example of a match between a favorite and an outsider, and there can be a million different football variations. Therefore, we once again remind you of the importance gaming strategies in sports betting, especially for beginners.
Always win in sports betting Even professionals can’t, but you shouldn’t open express bets counting only on luck either.
You need to constantly collect statistics, check them, identify influencing factors and try to predict the result of a particular match. It's not easy to do, but until you become an expert, you won't be able to earn much.
How to analyze football matches? Most often, bookmaker fans place bets on football.
That is why we decided to talk about conducting analysis before the match starts. This helps to build a correct forecast. It would also be a good idea to compare your assumptions with.
Analyze football matches correctly
Analysis of football matches will not help you if you use the services of an unverified company.
Nowadays there are many bookmakers on the Internet, but not all of them can be trusted. The best in this regard has been 1xstavka for several years now. From the website of this company, I constantly receive payments.
A proven and reliable service that offers bettors ample opportunities. In addition to choosing a bookmaker, it makes sense to learn how to use different ones. All professionals use cunning tactics while making forecasts at the same time.
If you decide to become a real expert in the field football betting, you have a lot to learn. Professionals spend years to earn large sums later.
Everyone has the same chances, therefore, the sooner you engage in self-education, the faster you will achieve good results.
Rules for match analysis
Checks must be carried out approximately 10 hours before the match. This time is enough to collect all the information and make assumptions about the results of the game.
What exactly needs to be checked? Here are the main factors:
- The state of the team is the most important factor influencing results. Almost all teams have ups and downs, so sometimes even outsiders can get ahead. How the team played 4 years ago is outdated information, you need to look for current data.
- Coaching - this item includes motivating the team. Most beginners don't pay attention to this. It has been seen more than once how players literally snatch victory when they approach first place in the tournament ladder. And if a good coach also appears, this can have a positive impact on the game.
- Venue of the game – by playing on “their own soil”, players have a greater chance of winning. It would seem, how is the field different? But the factor is really influential. In general, this point is controversial, since some teams are considered “away”, i.e. they win more often than not on their own field.
- The results of personal meetings are a good hint for a better. You can look at statistics on personal meetings and highlight the so-called “uncomfortable opponents”. It is better to use this for totals and other types of bets. Those. when you are sure that the total bill will not exceed a certain value.
- Team composition is one of the main factors. Lineups can change several times during a tournament, and along with this, the strength of the team changes. Sometimes players cannot take the field for a number of reasons, and sometimes the lineup is deliberately changed by coaches; you need to understand which lineup the team is the favorite.
- Current news - sporting events have to be studied constantly, because they help to understand how the teams are configured, what happened to the players in their lives, who was injured, and so on. Every little thing can affect how the team as a whole or each individual player plays.
- General statistics - this item could not have been included in common list, since the analysis of football matches involves checking the results of other games. It is necessary to compare not only goals scored, but also check corners, cards and much more. This will be useful for making bets.
You will have to spend a lot of time analyzing football matches, but without this you are unlikely to win often.
This article (especially its second part) has a rather philosophical tone. How to discover the formula for success? Does it exist on this moment? And what are its indicators?
I’ll say right away that this formula exists. It has quite a lot of indicators that need to be added up in order to ultimately achieve success. I told you about the first indicators in the article “Three Pillars of Success,” so if you have forgotten, I advise you to return to it.
One important indicator is situation analysis. What it is and how winning depends on it, you can read in this article.
Experienced players do exactly this - they bet only on tennis, occasionally choosing two sports and concentrating their attention on them.
But if you have learned this rule, it’s too early to rejoice. It is worth recognizing that bookmakers also use people who are well versed in a particular sport as experts. And believe me, they know what needs to be done. They can change the odds and use other tricks that a player, especially a beginner, will not see.
The second rule says: Do not count the number of events, but rather proceed from the quality of these events. You shouldn't bet on big number events. Perhaps in this way you increase your chances of winning - maybe something will come up. But isn’t it easier to thoroughly analyze 4-5 events in a particular sport, and only then place bets.
On good analysis you will spend a fairly decent amount of time, but you will also increase your chances of winning. Especially if you read something, collect information about teams, players and game results.
Approach the analysis creatively, without paying attention to the little things.
Don't rush, remember famous saying about haste.
And now I will share with you the formula for success in sports betting:
Analytics + Statistics + Intuition = .
And a good and correct forecast is followed by winning.
To make a correct forecast, you need to understand the game statistics.
Statistics in sports betting are a rather relative thing that cannot be relied upon with complete confidence, but it still needs to be considered.
View the latest game results for each team or player. Pay attention to the results of games away from home and, conversely, at home, on a field they know. Look at the composition of the teams, their physical and psychological condition– read the news chronicle, they sometimes write about divorces and other details personal life players. Don't forget to pay attention to player injuries.
Non-sports factors are also identified during the analysis. They are called indirect. Their importance can hardly be called insignificant - sometimes it is they who build the entire game and in the most direct way influence the results.
These factors include:
Weather conditions of matches,
Fans from each side, their activity.
Betting at random, based on your own opinion about the teams, the names and odds of bookmakers, is a direct path to failure. The primary task of each player is to eliminate bets without a preliminary total analysis. Let's look in detail at how to analyze football matches for betting. At the same time, we remind you that it is necessary to keep detailed statistics of your own bets and regularly analyze the causes of errors, the number of winnings by tournaments and types of bets.
Situational analysis
Preliminary estimates of the results, notes and analysis of the coefficients should be carried out immediately after the line appears. But you need to start analyzing the match directly on the day of the game, 10-12 hours before it starts, when most of the necessary information is available.
For ease of analysis, it is necessary to compile in advance the necessary database of statistical and information sites on which you can find the information of interest. We recommend adding useful sites to your browser bookmarks and regularly adding and updating the collection. The more food for thought, the better.
Don't spread yourself thin and try to cover all the football matches in the world. For experienced player A quick glance at the calendar of events is enough to identify interesting matches for betting. We advise beginners to identify a couple of tournaments that interest them and focus on them. The number of bets may vary - there is no consensus here. For more detailed analysis We recommend stopping at five matches a day, this is quite enough for a systematic replenishment of the bank.
Components of the analysis
Having selected the required number of matches, we proceed directly to the analysis, breaking it into several stages:
- Current position of teams in the table and tournament motivation. Who is higher in the table and who needs glasses more? This different concepts. It happens that the current outsider needs glasses more than the leader, so you need to look carefully.
- Team form. Standard assessment is based on the last five matches. If a club has 4 wins and a draw, then it is obvious that it is on the move. However, do not forget to evaluate the strength of the opponents and the status of these matches. It is also worthwhile to evaluate the overall statistics of home and away games for home and away games, respectively.
- Head-to-head meetings between rivals. Undoubtedly an important indicator that can give food for thought, but we should not forget that in modern football in two or three years the composition of players and coaching staff can change a little less than completely. Therefore, it is worth taking into account only matches between each other over the last two or three seasons.
- Games with leaders, middle peasants and outsiders. A controversial point, which, nevertheless, should be taken into account when teams from different parts of the table meet. There are teams that consistently play well against leaders and not so well against mediocre teams. A striking example— Liverpool 2016-2017 season.
- Bookmaker layouts. You shouldn’t trust bookmakers unconditionally, but you can’t ignore the initial odds and line movement. There are a lot of services that will show you in detail how the odds on the line have changed as the match approaches. In addition, this indicator must be taken into account in order to compare your own opinion with the set coefficient. If, as a result of analyzing the match, you came to the conclusion that the guests should win today, and the odds for them to win are 4.65, do not doubt it. The odds may not work, but if its value is higher than the probability, then feel free to bet.
- Losses in trains. Injuries, disqualifications, transfers, call-ups to the national team, personal problems - players may not take part in the match for a number of reasons. And this will definitely affect the course and result of the meeting. A lack of leadership can force a team to change tactics.
- Relationships between clubs and fans. Principal rivals or best friends- there is a difference. History knows many cases when friendly clubs helped each other with points in head-to-head meetings. It is worth paying attention to meetings of principal rivals because of the bets on yellow and red cards. You won't surprise anyone with a sending off in the Milan-Inter match.
- Statistical indicators. There are a lot of statistical calculations and you simply need to work with them carefully to correctly analyze sports matches. Statistics can tell you a lot. Considering last matches teams, pay attention to their statistical indicators - the number of dangerous attacks, percentage of ball possession, shots on goal and on target, number of corners, yellow cards and fouls, the time when teams score the most goals. For cup matches, information about players who are at risk of disqualification is relevant.
- Match referee and his statistics. The referee is the main one on the field, so it is worth paying attention to his statistics of warnings and deletions, and the results of teams when refereeing him.
- Weather conditions and field conditions. If the city expects pouring rain With a thunderstorm and the stadium not equipped with a roof, the teams are unlikely to be able to show effective football.
- Statistical series. Rostov lost only one match at home in all competitions in two years, Igor Akinfeev missed out on 43 matches in a row in the Champions League, and Benfica lost eight European Cup finals in a row - the series provides some food for thought.
A total analysis does not guarantee that the bet will go through, but it will help to weed out bets on a whim and assess your strength as an analyst. Don’t despair if you lose; defeat is a reason to work on your mistakes. Carefully study what and why prevented your forecast from coming true. If this happens over and over again, make adjustments to the analysis system.
DetailsAnalysis of football matches.
If you still decide to get into sports forecasting, not just for fun, but to generate income, of course, you need to study this article: Football match analysis. If you simply fall for the odds and blind luck, you should not expect success.
Sports analysis
Start off football analysis you need to choose a sport to predict - it is advisable to choose one sport in which you are best versed, this will help to conduct a more accurate and correct analysis. So, let's look at a sports analytics strategy using football as an example.
How to analyze football
Many sports fans wonder how to analyze football okay, let's look at the main points:
1. Very great importance has team motivation. This indicator is influenced by such factors as: tournament position, team participation in additional draws, as well as the status of the match - official game or friendly.
So strong teams can lose even to obvious outsiders, depending on the tasks set by the management for the team - be it winning the cup, or the hope of “maintaining registration” in a particular league. In the same case, if the event you have chosen is a “derby match,” then it is better to reconsider other factors, because this is a fundamental confrontation that very often does not depend on the location of the teams and tasks.
2. Equally important is determining the form of the teams at the time of placing bets. The fact is that every team, be it a leader, a “middle-class” or an outsider, experiences both ups and downs in its play throughout the season.
3. The location of the match can also significantly affect the result. So, when playing at home, the team can show a much better result, because the support of the fans plays an important role, and the adaptability to playing on their own field is much higher. Although there are exceptions, there are teams that are considered “away”.
4. Watching personal matches, it would seem, is not a very important factor, because it does not reflect the real strength of the opponents, but there is such a thing as an “inconvenient opponent” - a team with which it is not possible to achieve a decent result, regardless of the current strength. Despite the fact that statistics are a stubborn thing, they will sooner or later be violated, so take this fact into account.
5. It is definitely worth taking into account the composition of the opponents, since the team’s performance is affected by the presence of certain players who may be absent for various reasons.
6. Studying news from the opposing camp can also teach a lot interesting information affecting performance - injuries, disqualifications, conflicts within the team, dismissal or appointment of a head coach.
7. It will also be useful to watch previous matches, because very often, even with a wonderful game, a team may simply be unlucky, as a result, knowing the scores of previous matches is not enough.
Match analysis
These are perhaps the main factors that should be taken into account when making match analysis. But there are a number of additional, less important factors that, to one degree or another, can affect the outcome - weather conditions, changes in quotes, postponements of matches, and more. If you have chosen another sport, then you should simply apply these rules while making some adjustments depending on the characteristics of the chosen sport.
And the most important thing for sports forecasting is to under no circumstances get excited and not try to instantly win back previously lost money. This will definitely lead to negative results and loss of your funds.
