In search of an acceptable strategy: large bet - small odds. What does total mean in bets - fractional and integer? What is total over 0.5

TB 0.5 is an abbreviation for the standard bet on totals in betting. “T” stands for total, “B” is more, “0.5” is the number of goals that need to be scored/points that teams need to earn for a match/part of a match.

The bet is noteworthy for football, hockey, baseball, water polo, futsal and other sports, where the total number of goals/points scored often does not exceed ten.

The bet counts as a win if the teams participating in the game score 1 or more goals in the match. Let's look at the cases of passing and not passing a bet using examples.

Example #1:

Match Angola - Australia. Bet on 0.5 TB in a match with odds of 1.18. The match ended with a score of 1-0. That is, there was 1 goal in the match, which satisfies the requirements of our bet.

Example #2:

Match Saudi Arabia– Iran. The bet on TB is 0.5, the odds are 1.23. The score in the match was 0-0, there were no goals, which means the bet was lost.

Refunds are only provided if the match is cancelled.

The TB bet of 0.5 is best used at a distance. There are teams that always break through such a total. As an example, Bologna from Serie A. Only 2 matches with zero results in 38 rounds.

Conventionally, if you bet 10 thousand rubles on each match with the participation of Bologna in the championship at TB 0.5 (the odds for this are from 1.05 to 1.15), then over the year you will be in the black by 16 thousand rubles

Everything written below applies only to betting on football, unless another sport is indicated.

I would like to try out a strategy that just recently came to mind. Briefly: football, total over 0.5 (odds 1.05 - 1.07), express bet of 3, maximum 5 events, bet from RUR 50,000. Yes, it looks risky, you can lose a lot of money at once, and the potential winnings are much less than the amount invested. But maybe there is still common sense in this strategy?

And now, in order.

A little bit about yourself

I always wanted to bet less and win more. I’m not an expert in sports (I won’t be able to analyze a football match based on tactical and technical actions a la Bubnov). I don’t consider myself an experienced bettor either. - I mainly place bets during major events: World Cup, European Football Championship, etc. Previously, I bet on wins, non-losses, totals 2.5 over/under, handicaps. I never bet on statistics (corners, cards) - not my thing. I only use express trains, I don’t install systems. I actively bet at the last European Championship 2016. I made about 15 bets, every 3rd one was a winner, but the profit was only 3000 rubles. for the entire championship! This is very little!

Why am I looking for a new strategy?

I'm tired of betting on match results (win, non-loss). The sport is too unpredictable. Favorites often draw or lose to not the strongest teams, and in a dispute between 2 approximately equal teams, the outcome is very difficult to predict. I started trying to bet on totals, betting on under 3.5 or even under 4.5. But it happens that, contrary to all forecasts, teams can break through and score a bunch of goals on each other.

Total is more than 0.5 and an attempt to justify the strategy

Yes, there is such a bet, although I didn’t notice it before. The coefficient is very small, depending on the class of teams: maybe 1.05, or maybe 1.1. Coming from the simplest, banal logic: the goal of each team is to score a goal to the opponent, which they try to do within 90 minutes. As a rule, either one or both teams succeed in this. The result 0-0 occurs, but very, very rarely. This is the only danger to our strategy that we must try to avoid.

I don’t care who wins and how many goals they score and concede. Let the favorites lose or draw. The main thing is to have at least one single goal per match. There is no need to be an expert or have a great understanding of sports. And I’ve already seen a lot of forecasts from experts. Like them, all of us, ordinary bettors, try to think logically before a match: we analyze the state of the teams, their latest results, we look whether it is a home match for the team we are betting on or an away match, we evaluate the teams’ motivation... And how many mistakes happen: anything can happen on the field that we could not predict before the match, using our logic: for example, 2 red cards for Roma in the match with Porto on 08/23/16 and goodbye to the favorite. And there are a great many such examples.

Large bet - small odds. Event selection

Because odds for totals greater than 0.5 tend to zero (or rather, one), then in order to win something, you need to risk more, much more a larger amount than most of us are used to. The list of events is also limited: if Barcelona or Manchester City is playing, then there is no such bet at all, and the line starts with a total of 1.5. If you encounter very chronic average players with a weak attack, then the danger of a 0-0 result increases (along with the coefficient, which can reach 1.1.). And if, say, Arsenal, or any other “name” team plays with some average player, then the coefficient for the total is greater, 0.5 will be 1.05 - 1.06.

If we place an express bet consisting of 3 events with odds. 1.05, then with a bet of 50,000 the winnings will be 50,000 x 1.1576 = 57880. You need to win 6.3 bets just to double the amount of the initial bet, i.e. win + 50,000 rub.

You can make an express bet from 5 events, or choose events where the odds for the total are more than 0.5 and higher, for example, 1.07-1.09. But the risk accordingly increases.

Finally

The quieter you go, the further you'll get. Greed and desire for quick profit - best qualities, which bookmakers would like to see in their clients. I think for such a strategy you need to have a bank account of somewhere between 200,000 and 500,000 rubles. and nerves of steel. I expect that with express trains consisting of 3 events (with their careful selection), winnings will happen often, very often, which will cover possible losses. You can bet 2 times a week: choose events from each game day major European championships.

Whether this strategy is good or bad - time will tell. But I understood one thing for sure: if you really want to win something, then you need a lot of patience and... a lot of money. There is nothing to do with one thousand rubles for this purpose in the bookmaker. And with two too. To win big (in the long term, a little each time), you need to risk a much larger amount.

As I said at the beginning, I am not experienced player , so don't judge too harshly. I just wanted to think about this strategy.

Today we’ll look at a fairly popular system of betting on goals in the first half. As you understand, we will be talking about football matches. Let’s start, as usual, with the essence of the strategy, consider an example for understanding, and study the algorithms for betting in LIVE mode. Yes, it is in Live that you will very often have to use a strategy. Well, at the end, as usual, there will be a conclusion.

The essence of the strategy Goal in the first half

As I already guessed, we need to predict. Which team will be able to score a goal in the first half of a football match. This bet has its own name - First half total over 0.5 or TB 0.5 if abbreviated. Naturally, there is nothing complicated here at first glance. But where is the salt?

How to select the right team to bet on

There are several approaches to selecting teams that will need to be covered so that you have a full range of options. Especially for general development it will come in handy.

Selecting a command using a formula

We select a football event, for example K1 - K2. To determine who to bet on, you need to look at the statistics of the last 5 matches and how many goals they scored in the first half. For calculation we use the coefficients: A goal scored at home is 1 goal, a goal scored away is 2 goals, a goal missed at home is 2 goals, a goal missed away is 1 goal. Using these parameters, we calculate statistics for 5 games.

  • For example, for K1 - scored 1 goal at home = 1 goal, scored 2 goals away = 4 goals, conceded 1 goal at home = 2 goals, conceded 3 goals away = 3 goals.
  • Let’s say for K2 - scored 1 goal at home = 1 goal, scored 0 goals away = 0 goals, conceded 4 goals at home = 8 goals, conceded 4 goals away = 4 goals.

Now, using a simple formula, we will calculate the odds that will allow us to find out who has a better chance of scoring a goal in the 1st half.

(Goals scored at home / Goals conceded away) + (Goals scored away / Goals conceded)

Coefficient for K1 = (1/4)+(4/8)=0.25+0.5= 0.75

Coefficient for K2 = (1/3) + (0/2) = 0.33

The lower the odds, the higher the likelihood that the team will score a goal in the 1st half. Result of the match: Team K2 scored 2 goals in the first half.

For this strategy to work properly, the coefficient must be more than 0.6 , but if the coefficient turns out to be 1, then it is better not to bet on this match at all.

Selection by last dry draw

This type of selection is quite simple, for this you will need statistics for the last 5 seasons, goals scored in 1.2 halves and generally goals scored in a match in different leagues, we will put them in a single table and use them to determine the % of entry. I will provide data on three of them. I think you can do the rest of the work yourself.

  • Germany Bundesliga: Goals scored in the 1st half: 67,4% 26,5% Goals scored in matches 93,9%
  • Germany 3rd League: Goals scored in the 1st half: 57,9% Goals scored in the 2nd half: 32,4% Goals scored in matches 93,9%
  • Egypt Premier League: Goals scored in the 1st half: 52,4% Goals scored in the 2nd half: 36,4% Goals scored in matches 88,8%
  1. We are looking for an event in which the last outcome was 0-0 (dry or eggs)
  2. We determine the country and league in which the teams play. We analyze using the table whether it is suitable.
  3. If the event is suitable, then we bet the usual TB0.5 in the first half; if they scored a goal in the first half, we bet that they will score in the second half, in order to get back the money spent and also win.
  4. Goal in the second half! Bingo.

I advise Austrian Bundesliga, English Premier League, English Premier League (Junior 21), German Bundesliga, Hungarian Top League, Belgian Top League, Scandinavian League countries (Norway, Sweden, Finland), Dutch Top League, Czech Top League.

I do not advise: Argentina, Egypt, all cup matches, friendlies, especially international ones, because the result is too unpredictable.

Selection by home favorite

There is an option to select matches and teams for betting on goals in the first half by searching for the scoring favorite who is playing at home. To be specific, you need scoring team favorite with odds no more than 1.7 and for this team to play Houses, only if these conditions are met can one hope for a positive outcome of the bets.

To win, you need to place a bet at the end of the first half of the first half. The odds usually rise to 2. If the favorite team attacks a lot and often creates scoring chances, then you should bet. However, if the game is inactive and there are few scoring chances, then you need to make the opposite bet in order to win back the bet or even be slightly in the black, i.e. We create a type of fork to insure the bet.

Insuring your bet on Goal in the first half

As described above, in the middle of the first half, if the score is not open and there are no prerequisites, then you can use Live to make an opposite bet in order to insure the original one. Or you can bet on a goal in the second half.

bet365 betting scheme for goals in the first and second halves

There is a certain scheme tailored for the bet365 bookmaker (but is also suitable for other bookmakers). I reviewed it separately in the blog: Bet365 betting scheme for goals in the first and second half.

Conclusion

The strategy is quite interesting and attractive, but as old as the World. In general, if you have statistics and have a good understanding of teams, it can give a good profit. I think this is a worthy strategy, especially in conjunction with financial strategies

TB 0.5– one of the most risk-free bets on football. In a football match, teams leave the field without scoring goals not so often, and a bettor needs only one goal against any goal to win. In addition, a bet on a total greater than 0.5 is found in other sports in different interpretations.

Calculation of bet total more than 0.5

If at least one goal is scored in the match, the player receives a win. The bet is calculated in the same way if two, three or more goals were scored in the match - this type of bet should not be confused with a bet on the exact number of goals.

Only possible case losing a bet TB 0.5 - complete lack of effectiveness in the selected outcome:

  • final score 0:0;
  • 0 yellow cards;
  • zero offsides;
  • lack of aces, break points;
  • 0 deletions.

Bet on TB 0.5 in other sports

In hockey, the procedure for calculating bets is no different from football, with the only difference being that instead of scored goals, scored goals are taken into account.

In tennis, a total bet greater than 0.5 is used less frequently and is more often found in statistical indicators:

  • number of double faults or aces;
  • number of set points or match points
  • the number of sets won by one player.

The above-mentioned betting options on a total greater than 0.5 will lose only in the absence of at least one effective action on the specified bet.

Example of calculating a bet “total over 0.5”

The match between Lazio and Inter ended with a score of 2:3. At 0.5 TB, the bookmaker offered odds of 1.05. With a bet amount of 1000 rubles, the player’s winnings will be 50 rubles. If the match had ended 0:0, the bet would have been lost.

Another clear example: the match Rafael Nadal - Alexander Zverev. Sets score – 2:1, aces – 0:2, double faults – 1:1, number of match points played – 0:1.

Played bets: TB 0.5 aces and double faults, TB 0.5 match points won, TB 0.5 sets won by Zverev.

In sports such as basketball, handball, baseball and American football, the 0.5 TB bet is not offered due to the high performance in the matches.

So how do I do this? Statistics show that at least one goal is scored in the 1st half very often, in almost two out of three matches. The difficulty of winning at this event is that the odds for the total of the 1st half are more than 0.5 (at least one goal will be scored) before the start of the match are very small - 1.2-1.35, so in the medium term, “beat off” Even with three wins, one unexpected event is quite problematic. But there are even lower odds, 1.15 for example, sometimes you can’t guess 3 or 5 events in a row. What to do? I solve this problem in the following way:

After 10-15 minutes of the match (at the beginning of matches, something rarely happens), the odds for the event I need increases to 1.5-1.7. I just wait for this moment and place a bet. That's all. You just need to have a little patience. There are of course nuances. It happens that a match has been selected, we are sitting waiting for the odds to increase, and then - bam and in the 7th minute they score a goal, but you have not yet placed a bet. Dont be upset! The good thing about football is that there are enough matches every day - it’s not a problem to find a new match! By the way, I already wrote about the advantages of betting on football in an article. I recommend checking it out. When placing bets on the 1st half total over 0.5, you don’t even need to understand football, believe me! Any team can score one goal in the 1st half, even the least productive ones in your opinion! Oh, I almost forgot. I advise you to place such bets using the “catch-up” method. In this regard, you need to know: if several matches started around the same time, you only need to choose one match to bet on. And place the next bet after the end of the 1st half of this match, when the outcome of the event is already known. If the player wishes, an easy analysis of available matches is appropriate. To be honest, I don’t really bother with this, because I’ve been convinced more than once that almost everyone scores a goal in the 1st half regularly. The only thing I prefer is to bet on matches using this method major leagues or for friendly matches. In the lower leagues, the attackers are still weaker and may not score. Well, they score less often in cup matches. Hmm, I’ll probably write a post in the near future about matches that should be avoided when placing bets - the topic is voluminous and it’s difficult to explain everything clearly in a nutshell - in it I’ll tell you: when and why you won’t get anything good from some matches.

I’ll also add that on the darkest days for almost a year of using this betting strategies , I didn’t guess correctly for a maximum of 4 matches in a row. But just in case of emergency, my bank is designed for 6 bets using the “hard catch” method, i.e. With each subsequent bet, I completely win back the previous one I lost and win a little more. It is important for me that my bank account, at least by 10 rubles, constantly increases.

In the next post I will tell you more about what you can successfully bet on in the first half football matches. Follow my blog. I will be happy to answer your questions and suggestions in the comments to the article.

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