Gosloto 5 out of 45. Statistical analysis of Gosloto lotteries

All strategies invented by players are far from perfect, because if there were a 100% gaming system, then the number of winnings would be large, and the winnings themselves would tend to zero. Therefore, it is necessary to use several systems simultaneously, and the more, the better. The main thing here is to select (take into account) the “influence coefficient” of each strategy on the final result. All strategies described below can be tested (each separately and in various combinations) using the program.

AmountPar.

The system is quite simple, first let’s count how many times we got different couples numbers. For example: Results of the first draw = 15, 17, 22, 23, 25, 33. The pairs drawn were 15-17, 15-22, 15-23, .. , 15-33, 17-22, 17-23, .. , 17-33, .., 25-33 - only 15 pairs. Let's continue counting for the remaining circulations. As a result, we get a table with the results of the number of drops of all pairs of balls. Based on the results of 464 draws (see figure), it can be seen that the pair 6-13 appeared 5 times, the pair 10-11 appeared 18 times, and the pair 2-5 only once in 464 draws! Feel the difference! Now let's take 3 numbers, for example 3-11-18. SumPairs will be 14+11+13=38, and for three numbers 7-14-19 SumPairs = 1+3+5=9. The difference is 4 times! All that remains is to select 6 numbers with the largest sum of pairs and fill out this combination in each draw for a long time.

Creating a table and selecting 6 numbers with the highest SumPairs manually is quite tedious, especially since the results change little by little with each draw. For calculations, it is better to use a program that will help analyze the effectiveness of the game system in Gosloto 6 out of 45 “SummaPar”.

Let's look at an example of a simple analysis. Select the circulation for the forecast - 301, click the "Forecast" button. We get a list of the 50 best combinations, and immediately see the results of the 301st draw (highlighted in red). 21 pairs and 2 triplets were guessed. With costs of 50*50=2500 rubles, we are in the minus. The forecast for the 306th draw looks even sadder - only one pair was guessed. But the next draw, 307, is pleasing - 34 pairs and 12 triplets (48 out of 50 winning tickets). Even better is the 316 draw - 19 pairs, 23 threes and 5 fours! All that remains is to guess in which circulations to use the system. For this purpose, you can additionally use other systems. For example, display not 50, but up to 5000 results and select from them using additional criteria.

Ball Step.

Let's start with the definition: The pitch is the difference between the numbers of the runs in which the Ball was drawn. If the ball lands in two consecutive editions, then Step=1, if through circulation, then Step=2, etc. Now for each Ball we count how many times Step1, how many Step2, etc. were dropped. Let's summarize the results in a table. From the table (compiled for the forecast of 465 draws) it can be seen that Ball3 came up 8 times in a row, 17 times after a draw, and only 5 times after 2 draws. The working method is as follows: For each Ball, we calculate the Step that will happen if this Ball falls out and look at the table how many times the Ball fell out at this Step. We select the Balls with the highest amount. Although, take the same 465 circulation. For Ball15, Step=1 (dropped 15 times), and for Ball2, Step=3 (2 times), and Ball2 came up... Apparently, the system can be used as an auxiliary system, in conjunction with other systems. Although, for the 460th draw, using ShaguShar you can guess 31 pairs and 19 triplets...

It is more convenient to create a table for each circulation and determine the Steps using the program.

Transitions.

The easiest way to explain the “transition” is with an example: if “8” came up in a draw, and “20” in the next draw, then this is a “transition from 8 to 20” (8->20). For example, circulation No. 1= 15 17 22 23 25 33; No. 2= 19 23 24 29 44 45. Fill out the “Transitions” table: 15->19, 15->23, 15->24, ... 33->44, 33->45. There are 36 transitions in total. We take the next pair of draws No. 2 and No. 3, etc. Let's fill out the table for 300 circulations and see what happens. The transition 11->26 occurred 14 times, and the transition 11->9 only 3 times. Let's try to make a forecast of the 301st circulation based on the "Transition" table (we can't do without a program here). Out of 50 combinations, 30 pairs and 13 triplets were guessed (better than for "SumPairs"). If you use “SumPairs” and “Transitions” at the same time, you will guess fewer: 29 pairs and 8 triplets. This suggests that each system must be used with a certain “influence coefficient”, so that each system increases the overall result, and does not decrease it. Determining such “influence coefficients” is the task of future developments.

Filter Even/Odd.

Everything is simple here: Each draw can contain from 0 to 6 even Balls and resp. from 6 to 0 odd. We put a check mark against the desired number of even Balls and only such combinations will participate in the forecast. It should be noted that the real distribution of the number of even Balls exactly coincides with the theoretical distribution, so this filter does not provide any particular advantage.

Filter "Snowflake".

An interesting filter found on the Internet. The main idea is this: based on the results of the previous draw, we divide all 45 Balls into two unequal parts - the larger part (BC) and the smaller part (MC). The number and values ​​of Balls in warheads and warheads change all the time (maximum warheads = 23 and warheads = 22, minimum warheads = 44, warheads = 1). Let's see how many Balls in the next draw ended up in the larger part and how many in the smaller part. The BC/MC ratio can be from 0/6 to 6/0. From the statistics for 300 circulations it can be seen that the BC/MC ratio was 4/2 in 32% of circulations, 3/3 in 26%, 5/1 in 22%, i.e. in 80% of circulations the ratio was 4/2, 3/3 and 5/1. The ratio 0/6 (i.e. all 6 balls hit the smaller part) happened only once (circulation 295, Mch = 19), although the smaller part often happens = 15..22 balls.

Now let's talk about how the "Snowflake" filter is calculated.
We arrange all 45 Balls in a circle, mark the Balls of the last draw and connect them with straight lines. We find the center of gravity (CG) of the resulting hexagon, connect the CG to the origin point and draw a secant perpendicularly. The secant divides all the Balls into two parts - Bch (the one with more Balls) and Mch. results next edition will give us the Bch/Mch ratio. According to statistics, in 80% of draws, the majority of draws end up with 3-5 Balls, and the minority, respectively. 3-1.

Ivan Ognev's system.

Ivan Ognev’s gaming system is based on the assumption that for each draw it is possible to calculate the “Characteristic Number of Ognev” (HARCHO), based on it, create a series of several numbers, one of which with high probability will appear in the next draw. Ognev's numbers are calculated based on the results of the circulation as follows. For example, take circulation No. 299 = 10, 29, 31, 34, 39, 40. Find the difference between neighboring numbers= 19, 2, 3, 5, 1. Repeat the operation until one number remains (= 17, 1, 2, 4; = 16, 1, 2; = 15, 1; = 14). The number 14 is KharCHO. Often, last number it turns out 0 or 1. Then, in the penultimate step, we calculate not the difference of two numbers, but their sum. Circulation #300= 8, 15, 16, 31, 38, 45. Last pair = 2, 2; Because 2-2=0, then we accept HarCHO=2+2=4. If the amount last pair again equal to 1 or 0, then we leave it that way. Real KharCHO were found from 0 to 40 (in circulation No. 354, 20-20=0, next 20+20=40). Next, from KharCHO we obtain a series of numbers as follows: KharCHO is squared, cubed, etc. (we discard numbers greater than 45). We successively subtract HarCHO from the square until we get zero. Examples: KharCHO=2, row= 2, 4, 8, 16, 32; KharCHO=3, row=3, 6, 9, 27; KharCHO=14, row=14, 28, 42;

Now let’s analyze Ognev’s numbers using the GosLotoWin program (Menu->Analysis->Ognev). The figure shows the results of the draws, a series of Ognev Numbers for each draw, and the numbers that appeared in the subsequent draw are highlighted in blue. For each draw there are from 0 to 6 numbers (usually 4-5), one or two win. Out of 430 past draws, the Characteristic Number of Ognev (HARCHO) fell out in 200 (46.5%), i.e. in every second draw one of Ognev's numbers from the previous draw falls out.

The figure shows that the most common drops are HarCHO =2(18%), =3(18%), =4(13%). Because KharCHO does not win in every draw, so it is interesting to trace the trend over a certain period of time. An example of a small sequence (1- dropped, .- didn’t drop). =.11.111.1..11..11...111..=

A small example: according to statistics, KharCHO=2 came up in 18% of draws (95 times out of the past 519), of which in 54% of cases not a single number from Ognev’s series (2, 4, 8, 16, 32) won. More often than others, Ball 16 wins (16%), less often 4 (4%), in 5% of draws two or more numbers Ogneva.

You can read more interestingly about Ivan Ognev’s system.

These formulas are almost the same.
Npr- number of the draw in which the Ball is expected to appear.
N- the number of the draw in which the Ball was drawn for the last time.
m- the total number of Ball drops.
An example of the Sharov forecast using the Karnaukh and formulas Power function for circulation No. 526. The table shows: Ball; The number of the draw in which this Ball should appear; Deviation from the predicted circulation; Deviation is the same, only for clarity, shown from the range -1..+2. The Balls drawn in Draw No. 526 are highlighted in red.
It is clearly seen that Ball 3, according to calculations using both formulas, should have fallen out in draw No. 526, and it did. The winning of Ball 5 was predicted only by the Carnauch formula, and the predicted Balls 28, 29 and 30 never came out.


Groups and Markov Chains.

Description of Groups and Markov Chains will be ready later. Short description available in HELP for the program GosLotoWin.

Descriptions of other systems will be added soon. if you have interesting ideas, then , and I will add them to the program for analysis.

IN New Year players hope for a miracle and large cash prizes, because this time is associated with the time of fulfillment of cherished desires. The Stoloto company decided to provide a chance to fulfill them and hold a special New Year's draw of the Gosloto lottery 6 out of 45, which will be held New Year's Eve 31th of December. 1 New Year's draw to win in one of five categories, you can on the All-Loto portal.

You can do it right now and until December 30 inclusive. Ticket prices and minimum rate equal to 100 rubles, although you can always make a detailed bet, but its cost will be higher.

IN New Year's edition"Six" will have a prize fund of at least 200 million rubles and a mandatory drawing for a first category prize. If none of the players manages to guess all 6 numbers out of 45, then 35.8% of the balance of the prize fund remaining after the payment of fixed prizes will be distributed among all lottery participants.

Determining the size of the winnings in the New Year's draw of the Gosloto 6 out of 45 lottery

After six winning numbers are determined, fixed prizes will first be paid out (prizes of 100 rubles each), and then prize funds the remaining 4 categories.

  • The 4th category prize fund will be 23% and will be divided equally between all winners who match 3 numbers.
  • The Category 3 prize pool will be 14.4% and will be distributed evenly among players who find 4 matches on their tickets or receipts.
  • The Category 2 prize pool will be 26.8% and will be shared by all winners who make 5 matches on their tickets or receipts.
  • The first category prize pool will be 35.8% and will go to players who cross out all six numbers they previously marked.

Gosloto results 6 of 45 draw No. 1, 12/31/2016 at 20:00

Drawn combination: 01/17/45/02/33/38 .

For 2 months we kept game statistics (honesty test!) in Russian lotteries on one popular resource

Do you seriously think that playing lotteries with closed draws and withdrawals animated video broadcasts, is it possible to win the jackpot?

Then we go to you!

We will empirically prove to you how players are deceived on this resource. Really serious prizes and jackpots (1st and 2nd categories - do not fall to random people!). Call it what you want, up to the laundering of gaming money.

Statistics of bets of one of our players on the main lotteries (6 out of 45 & 5 out of 36):

For example, one of the bets on 140 combinations of numbers in the state lottery lottery is 6 out of 45 with the probability of winning the jackpot - 1 in 8,000,000, and accordingly the probability of winning secondary prizes is an order of magnitude higher.

A detailed bet of 8 numbers was placed on each of the 6 fields of the ticket:

as you can see, the cost of this bet was 14 000 R. - the total winnings were - 1500 R.

On the other hand, this may seem like an absolutely normal set of circumstances, but not when comrades playing in parallel place bets for amounts more than 30,000 rub. in each draw, covering the most popular combinations and numbers on 6 ticket fields - winning measly 1500r.

Many of the combinations that appear during successive draws really make one think of plans planned 20 minutes before the start of the draws and automatically generated combinations, because sometimes the numbers that appear are far from random!

There have been cases of loss in two consecutive draws 3 and 4 repeating numbers in combination, which, in principle, according to probability theory, is practically impossible, the probability is 0.000001%

Those. support absolutely officially answers our question:

Player: What guarantees are there that the combinations that come out (rapido, 6 out of 45, 5 out of 36) are not automatically selected at random, based on tickets (bets) already purchased using some "da Vinci code" generator (just these 20 minutes before the start of the drawing, after the bets close)?

Technical support response:There are no guarantees, you must trust us by default, since we have a circulation commission and number generators patented by special structures.

So, it turns out that we are obliged to believe that the money is not laundered in this way, but is actually won by ghost players, which is also impossible to trace.

It would be nice if there was also a live broadcast of the draws from real people in the circulation commission, which we could see, and accordingly the process of selecting numbers by lottery specialists. device.

Perhaps the number of people winning in each draw is a fiction that is presented to us to divert our eyes, that supposedly they really win against us, but it is not possible to trace this.


The next important point:

Why is the distribution of category 2 and other secondary prizes often between a clearly defined number of participants?

How, in principle, can this be possible according to the theory of probability, if the number of players is more than 100,000 people, and the number of bets sometimes exceeds 300,000.

ON A NOTE: In the lottery gosloto 6 of 45- the probability of guessing 5 numbers out of 6 (winning a prize of the 2nd category) is an order of magnitude less than guessing 5 numbers out of 5 in lottery 5 out of 35(1st category prize), but for some reason the number of people guessing 5 numbers in the 6 out of 45 lottery is always more than 1 (from 1 to 10).

In the 5 out of 36 lottery, the first category prize (guessing 5 combination numbers) is not played out in every draw and this is done for only one purpose - to maintain the players’ interest in this game due to the rapid increase in the jackpot amount through the constant injection of money into it. This can no longer help but suggest that numbers in gosloto are far from random.

Number of winners of second category prizes in drawings Gosloto lotteries 6 out of 45 and 5 out of 36(matching 5 out of 6 numbers and matching 4 out of 5 numbers in a combination, respectively) - constantly seems to be adjusted to a certain framework.

In the lottery 5 out of 36 the number of people who guessed 4 numbers out of 5 often never exceeds 30 people in order to leave a range for choosing the 5th number in the combination of the lottery generator - thus Grand Prize 1st category is not played out and accumulates to a certain value. Subsequently, it is not broken by random people and displayed on "financing government spending."

Although, in principle, we will never check this using the dead statistics of the results of the draws - whether in fact the number of winners of the second category prize fluctuates between 13-30 people or only 2, or maybe no one at all.



The numbers may not fall randomly, but are quite definite and convenient for individuals so that the number of winners was 0, but for everyone playing through the site stoloto.ru and following the game in results of the drawing certain amounts of payments to the winners will be displayed so that players can see the imaginary and falsified results of the drawings (picture above) and be convinced that there are winners and they are paid real money - this cannot be verified!

And believe me, implementing such a scheme programmatically does not seem too difficult!

Thus, the money collected for the circulation from drawing to drawing can be distributed not among real players (payments to non-existent winners), but go to well-defined “offshore” funds of the management of State Loto and other government agencies.

I don’t argue, small amounts up to 6,000 rubles. there is a tiny chance of winning, but you are unlikely to ever win large jackpots (more than 5-300 million rubles) and prizes of the second category.

Invented stories of winners can really touch the soul, but falsify them, and also find the right people, playing the role of millionaires is also not difficult - this is the opinion of not only our specialists.

For example, let’s take the State Loto lottery 5 out of 36 (with a “higher probability” of winning - 1 in 300,000).

The cost of 126 combinations was about 4000-5000 rubles.

Result - no winnings! At the same time, “one hundred lotto” employees note that every fourth combination wins.


The summary of all of the above is as follows:

The choice is yours to play or not to play Russian lotteries, but the honesty and openness of the lottery are still important!

Now that it's open official foreign online lotteries for Russians- the opportunity to win the American or European Jackpot (up to 1.5 billion dollars) through proven lottery sites of Mega Lottery agents (www.MegaLotter.Ru) - has become a reality!

*All bets made for the "Russian" test state lotteries", were issued with money won in foreign lotteries(powerball, eurojackpot, euromillions, megamillions), taking place with real circulation commissions live on TV channels of participating countries of these lotteries.

There is no doubt that at least once in life everyone has asked themselves the question: how to win the 6 out of 45 lottery? Indeed, the winning ticket is real chance improve your financial situation and fulfill your cherished desires, and at the same time invest as little as possible in it. But practice shows: the lucky ones who won large sums very little money. I wonder what it depends on? Is there some kind of pattern or is this a matter of luck?

What are the chances of winning?

Surely each of us, when buying another lottery ticket, hopes that it will certainly be a winner. One only has to think about the fact that there are a huge number of combinations in the 6 out of 45 lottery and only one of them can turn ordinary person into a multimillionaire.

So, using a mathematical formula, it was established that the number of possible combinations in the 6 out of 45 lottery is 8,145,060. Just think about it: the chance of winning is negligible. But despite this, in history there are many cases of winning large cash prizes. Based on them, we can come to the conclusion 6 out of 45.

How to guess the numbers?

The principle of the lottery is that the player must choose 6 numbers out of 45 on the playing field. The one who correctly guesses the combination completely will receive a super prize. As a rule, it amounts to more than one million rubles in Russia. Some people bet numbers “at random”, others use some strategy, others use the same combination over and over again, in the hope that sooner or later it will turn out to be winning. In general, everyone has their own way to win the 6 out of 45 lottery.

There are also methods for determining winning numbers using magical attributes. One of these methods is called dowsing. So, how to win the 6 out of 45 lottery using a pendulum? In fact, the method is quite simple and accessible, not requiring special knowledge and skills. For the ritual you will need a sheet of paper on which you need to write all 45 numbers. Next, you need to take some kind of pendant and hold it over each number in turn; if it starts to swing over one or several of them, then perhaps it’s worth noting this particular number. The method, of course, at first glance does not inspire confidence, but clairvoyants often use pendulums, which means it can also be considered for this purpose.

Statistics

In each game, the organizers keep statistics, in this case we're talking about about the frequency of occurrence of certain numbers. This information is widely available to players, and you can view it on the official lottery website, if there is one, of course. This method is regular customers lottery tickets are used for gaming, while others, by the way, on the contrary, bet on those numbers that appear less frequently according to statistics.

Also, many players believe that lottery organizers calculate combinations in advance so that there are as few winning tickets. In fact, this is extremely difficult to do, unless, of course, we are talking about playing online, and winning numbers automatically selected by the computer program.

So, one of the methods for determining a “lucky” combination is to determine the system for the occurrence of certain numbers, that is, to keep statistics. But this, of course, does not provide any guarantees, as do other methods. And it is also not possible to definitively answer how to win the 6 out of 45 lottery using statistics.

What do players who managed to get cash prizes in the 6 out of 45 lottery say:

  1. There is no need to bet on numbers that are associated with any events; it is better to bet at random.
  2. In one game, either even numbers do not appear, or therefore it is worth combining the choice of both in one ticket.
  3. Numbers need to be distributed evenly throughout playing field, because it is rare that all zithers are located in one part.
  4. Need to count total amount selected numbers, it should not be less than 106 and more than 179.
  5. Experienced players testify that you should not play on one bet, it is better to spend money and buy several tickets and increase your chance of winning.

This is a few simple tips how to win lottery 6 out of 45. Reviews experienced players indicate that in order to win, you must first play. Because many of those who received good cash prizes said that they played for years and regularly, and in the end luck smiled on them.

How to win the lottery?

Apparently, there are quite a lot of gamblers in our country. And even though there are many tips, recommendations, and secrets on how to win the 6 out of 45 super prize in the lottery, not everyone is lucky. From this we can conclude that you shouldn’t rely too much on them; most likely, victory really depends largely on luck.

Some people participate in the drawing only because they enjoy the process itself. Others constantly entertain the hope of a big cash winnings. And someone completely unexpectedly becomes a millionaire. In general, the conclusion is clear - you need to listen to your intuition and believe in luck.

When tossing a coin, the probability of getting “heads” or “tails” is 50/50. Of course, this does not mean that after “heads” a “tails” will necessarily fall out. However, it is absolutely certain that the more attempts are made, the closer the average value will be to 50%. If, for example, a coin is tossed one hundred thousand times, then the occurrence of “heads” and “tails” will be distributed approximately equally.

The same applies to lotteries. The chances of guessing a particular prize category are known; it is quite possible to see how they coincide with the mathematically expected ones.

Let's take lottery 6 out of 45 from Gosloto
The probability of winning by category is as follows:
2 numbers - 1:7
3rd - 1:45
4 numbers - 1:733
5th - 1:34 808
6 numbers - 1:8 145 060

More than 1,800 draws have already taken place in lottery 6 out of 45; the base is quite sufficient for a correct comparison. So, from the 1st to the 1826th draw, players bet 479 million combinations


68.4 million "twos" (479,000,000 / 7)
10.6 million "threes" (479,000,000 / 45)
653 thousand “fours” (479,000,000 / 733)
13,761 “fives” (479,000,000 / 34,808)
And finally - 58 “sixes” (479,000,000 / 8,145,060)

Did this really happen?
Let's compare; during the same period, that is, from the 1st to the 1826th circulation, the following fell:
77.7 million “twos” - 113%
11.5 million “threes” - 108%
701 thousand “fours” - 107%
15,177 “fives” - 110%

But! That's not the fun part!
The most interesting thing is that the prize of the main category in numerical lotteries from Gosloto was not always so unattainable. For example, in the first few years, six was rolled out regularly, within the statistically expected range.

Just a few years ago, six was more common:

During 2008-2011, players placed 6 out of 45 bets on the lottery - 115.5 million bets. “Six” was guessed 12 times during the same period, that is, 9,625,000 combinations were obtained on average for each win. Or 118% of the statistically expected (8,145,060) result

What happened after 2011?
For 2012 - 2016 (1827 editions inclusive), players placed 364 million bets. According to the laws of statistics, 44 “sixes” should have fallen during this time. But during the same period, they turned out only 17 times. Almost three times (!!) less than it should be

Such a serious deviation, and only in one category, means only one thing - the organizers are dishonest and manipulate the winning combination in their favor. Simply put, jackpots are artificially grown and taken to the side

Number of bets (in millions) required to guess a six


(the last jack has not yet been guessed. There are already 40 million bets...)

As you can see in this diagram, for some time now there have been no-jack series, when instead of an average of 8.1 million bets, guessing the “six” requires 30-40 million bets. Which is several times (!!) higher than the calculated value. I'll tell you this - incredibly, damn much.

If we return to the comparison of tossing a coin, then perhaps 80 thousand “heads” when tossing 100 thousand times will, I think, be a phenomenon of the same order. Since this simply cannot be, there are only two explanations here: either, something is wrong with the coin. Or, the thrower can control its flight and land it accordingly, on the desired side...

So in numerical lotteries from Gosloto, the organizers violate the laws of statistics, since they simply control the occurrence of a “winning” combination. The discrepancy only and exclusively in the prizes of the main category clearly shows this. It remains to add that all this began in 2011, after the cancellation live broadcast. And it finally took hold in December 2013, after the transition to RNG

Exactly the same fantastic discrepancies with statistics occur in the 6 out of 36 lottery
The odds of winning by category are as follows:
2 numbers - 1:8
3 numbers - 1:81
4 numbers - 1:432
5 numbers - 1:376,992

More than 4,000 draws have already taken place in lottery 5 out of 36, so it’s even more interesting to look at the results
From the 1st to the 4184th draw, players placed 313 million bets

It can be expected that during this time the following was guessed:
39.1 million "twos" (313,000,000 / 8)
3.8 million "threes" (313,000,000 / 81)
128 thousand “fours” (479,000,000 / 2,432)
And finally - 830 “fives” (479,000,000 / 376,992)

What do we really have?
37.2 million “twos” - 95%
3.8 million “threes” - 100%
125.8 thousand “fours” - 98%

And - what do you think, how many “fives” did you get - 100%, 90%, or maybe 95%?
Ah, here comes the fig, dear friends!

A total of 421 fives were guessed throughout the entire period.
That is, again - two times less than calculated...

once upon a time "fives were guessed much more often than now

By the way. If you look at the number of bets on one “five” for another period, for example from the same 2012, you can see that:
- the number of bets for this period amounted to 246 million
- with such a volume of bets there should be 652 “fives”

In reality, during this time there were only 198 fives. Yet again - three times less than it should be.

P.s. The 6 out of 45 lottery is now luring players with another record jackpot - 242 million rubles. I can only say one thing to everyone who wants to try their luck - this money is not prepared for you guys! The organizers are most likely simply pocketing the record super prizes. What is the point of participating in a lottery where it is already clear who will take the main prize?

P.p.s. Anyone who wants can compare the results themselves; I am posting the file with the data in the public domain.

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